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Millet in Gourcy

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Irregular reports. This market published a price in 8 of the last 12 months. Prices here can change more, for example through insecurity or road closures; the forecast range is wider accordingly. In past tests, the 80 % range for next month held in 81% of cases in markets that report irregularly, against 77% in markets that report regularly.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

202–344

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

180–360

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 202 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 180 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Gourcy: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 202 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 180 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 520); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 239–304 271 225–315 324 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 224–333 273 198–340 325 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 202–344 264 131–410 315 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 185–347 259 116–475 305 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 180–360 260 94.1–520 307 –
Price history (260 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026274
Aug 2026272
Jul 2026267
Feb 2026261
Jan 2026251
Dec 2025235
Nov 2025230
Oct 2025235
Sept 2025260
Aug 2025277
Jul 2025338
Jun 2025334
May 2025340
Apr 2025347
Mar 2025361
Feb 2025341
Jan 2025290
Dec 2024269
Nov 2024325
Oct 2024410
Sept 2024413
Aug 2024420
Jul 2024392
Jun 2024333
May 2024300
Apr 2024303
Mar 2024302
Feb 2024276
Jan 2024275
Dec 2023271
Nov 2023256
Oct 2023254
Sept 2023258
Aug 2023254
Jul 2023255
Jun 2023261
May 2023262
Apr 2023265
Mar 2023308
Feb 2023272
Jan 2023271
Dec 2022277
Nov 2022308
Oct 2022409
Sept 2022409
Aug 2022409
Jul 2022409
Jun 2022408
May 2022399
Apr 2022395
Mar 2022311
Feb 2022300
Jan 2022294
Dec 2021290
Nov 2021272
Oct 2021236
Sept 2021214
Aug 2021222
Jul 2021228
Jun 2021225
May 2021232
Apr 2021232
Mar 2021227
Feb 2021230
Jan 2021221
Dec 2020204
Nov 2020216
Oct 2020226
Sept 2020230
Aug 2020206
Jul 2020203
Jun 2020189
May 2020181
Apr 2020181
Mar 2020169
Feb 2020172
Jan 2020172
Dec 2019176
Nov 2019174
Oct 2019161
Sept 2019162
Aug 2019131
Jul 2019169
Jun 2019177
May 2019192
Apr 2019203
Mar 2019196
Feb 2019188
Jan 2019212
Dec 2018212
Nov 2018211
Oct 2018213
Sept 2018211
Aug 2018264
Jul 2018288
Jun 2018269
May 2018267
Apr 2018265
Mar 2018253
Feb 2018249
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017254
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017267
Sept 2017264
Aug 2017254
Jul 2017243
Jun 2017245
May 2017245
Apr 2017232
Mar 2017210
Feb 2017212
Jan 2017201
Dec 2016219
Nov 2016239
Oct 2016225
Sept 2016211
Aug 2016211
Jul 2016211
Jun 2016208
May 2016193
Apr 2016193
Mar 2016193
Feb 2016176
Jan 2016179
Dec 2015167
Nov 2015176
Oct 2015176
Sept 2015185
Aug 2015193
Jul 2015194
Jun 2015195
May 2015195
Apr 2015188
Mar 2015176
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015181
Dec 2014176
Nov 2014187
Oct 2014179
Sept 2014176
Jul 2014193
Jun 2014191
May 2014176
Apr 2014183
Mar 2014154
Feb 2014177
Dec 2013169
Nov 2013170
Oct 2013156
Sept 2013191
Aug 2013192
Jul 2013196
Jun 2013194
May 2013196
Mar 2013194
Feb 2013197
Jan 2013178
Dec 2012176
Nov 2012226
Oct 2012262
Sept 2012262
Aug 2012266
Jul 2012272
Jun 2012276
May 2012284
Apr 2012264
Mar 2012227
Feb 2012209
Jan 2012203
Dec 2011200
Nov 2011169
Oct 2011164
Sept 2011158
Aug 2011166
Jul 2011166
Jun 2011166
May 2011166
Apr 2011163
Mar 2011164
Feb 2011165
Jan 2011157
Dec 2010154
Nov 2010163
Oct 2010177
Sept 2010172
Aug 2010182
Jul 2010182
Jun 2010178
May 2010179
Apr 2010186
Mar 2010187
Feb 2010174
Jan 2010182
Dec 2009174
Nov 2009195
Oct 2009197
Sept 2009195
Aug 2009197
Jul 2009192
Jun 2009176
May 2009173
Apr 2009170
Mar 2009171
Feb 2009163
Jan 2009142
Dec 2008132
Nov 2008152
Oct 2008174
Sept 2008185
Aug 2008182
Jul 2008177
Jun 2008179
May 2008164
Apr 2008137
Mar 2008136
Feb 2008137
Jan 2008132
Dec 2007134
Nov 2007133
Oct 2007127
Sept 2007116
Aug 2007123
Jul 2007123
Jun 2007121
May 2007118
Apr 2007111
Mar 2007112
Feb 2007106
Jan 2007103
Dec 200699.9
Nov 2006116
Oct 2006127
Sept 2006127
Aug 2006132
Jul 2006139
Jun 2006143
May 2006146
Apr 2006139
Mar 2006134
Feb 2006130
Jan 2006134
Dec 2005125
Nov 2005127
Oct 2005239
Sept 2005241
Aug 2005209
Jul 2005210
Jun 2005192
May 2005173
Apr 2005163
Mar 2005160
Feb 2005148
Jan 2005135
Dec 2004133
Nov 2004127
Oct 2004123
Sept 2004107
Aug 2004114
Jul 2004113

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-136-73-retail-kg.