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Millet in Kongoussi

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

238–368

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

210–393

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 238 and 368 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 210 and 393 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Kongoussi: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 238 and 368 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 210 and 393 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 581); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 271–337 298 263–353 407 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 254–366 302 234–369 406 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 238–368 296 203–454 382 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 222–381 294 174–581 371 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 210–393 295 121–542 376 –
Price history (411 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026316
Aug 2026300
Jul 2026300
Jun 2026300
May 2026316
Apr 2026316
Mar 2026316
Feb 2026306
Jan 2026309
Dec 2025310
Nov 2025305
Oct 2025320
Sept 2025342
Aug 2025367
Jul 2025402
Jun 2025417
May 2025417
Apr 2025414
Mar 2025417
Feb 2025407
Jan 2025368
Dec 2024354
Nov 2024353
Oct 2024456
Sept 2024472
Aug 2024482
Jul 2024395
Jun 2024343
May 2024360
Apr 2024355
Mar 2024329
Feb 2024328
Jan 2024325
Dec 2023316
Nov 2023289
Oct 2023284
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023300
Jun 2023300
May 2023300
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023318
Feb 2023321
Jan 2023316
Dec 2022317
Nov 2022357
Oct 2022369
Sept 2022375
Aug 2022379
Jul 2022381
Jun 2022372
May 2022374
Apr 2022369
Mar 2022343
Feb 2022300
Jan 2022333
Dec 2021326
Nov 2021293
Oct 2021257
Sept 2021221
Aug 2021220
Jul 2021213
Jun 2021203
May 2021202
Apr 2021200
Mar 2021193
Feb 2021173
Jan 2021170
Dec 2020180
Nov 2020184
Oct 2020198
Sept 2020183
Aug 2020159
Jul 2020155
Jun 2020160
May 2020163
Apr 2020163
Mar 2020156
Feb 2020153
Jan 2020138
Dec 2019125
Nov 2019140
Oct 2019154
Sept 2019157
Aug 2019154
Jul 2019152
Jun 2019150
May 2019150
Apr 2019150
Mar 2019151
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019148
Dec 2018148
Nov 2018189
Oct 2018217
Sept 2018241
Aug 2018241
Jul 2018243
Jun 2018274
May 2018250
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018248
Feb 2018248
Jan 2018237
Dec 2017235
Nov 2017244
Oct 2017264
Sept 2017258
Aug 2017236
Jul 2017225
Jun 2017225
May 2017225
Apr 2017201
Mar 2017199
Feb 2017176
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016170
Oct 2016176
Sept 2016197
Aug 2016213
Jul 2016203
Jun 2016202
May 2016200
Apr 2016200
Mar 2016194
Feb 2016187
Jan 2016189
Dec 2015181
Nov 2015193
Oct 2015202
Sept 2015202
Aug 2015202
Jul 2015202
Jun 2015189
May 2015164
Apr 2015164
Mar 2015165
Feb 2015165
Jan 2015164
Dec 2014159
Nov 2014168
Sept 2014188
Jul 2014188
Jun 2014188
May 2014187
Mar 2014175
Feb 2014175
Dec 2013150
Nov 2013163
Oct 2013170
Sept 2013187
Aug 2013196
Jul 2013199
Jun 2013199
May 2013194
Feb 2013175
Jan 2013176
Dec 2012170
Nov 2012244
Oct 2012287
Sept 2012281
Aug 2012279
Jul 2012279
Jun 2012279
May 2012261
Apr 2012254
Mar 2012222
Feb 2012194
Jan 2012189
Dec 2011190
Nov 2011179
Oct 2011193
Sept 2011182
Aug 2011175
Jul 2011163
Jun 2011150
May 2011151
Apr 2011149
Mar 2011150
Feb 2011138
Jan 2011126
Dec 2010133
Nov 2010147
Oct 2010161
Sept 2010175
Aug 2010175
Jul 2010175
Jun 2010170
May 2010159
Apr 2010159
Mar 2010163
Feb 2010166
Jan 2010159
Dec 2009149
Nov 2009152
Oct 2009152
Sept 2009185
Aug 2009181
Jul 2009175
Jun 2009164
May 2009167
Apr 2009164
Mar 2009154
Feb 2009143
Jan 2009127
Dec 200884.6
Nov 2008111
Oct 2008146
Sept 2008165
Aug 2008166
Jul 2008162
Jun 2008163
May 2008149
Apr 2008134
Mar 2008114
Feb 2008111
Jan 2008106
Dec 2007109
Nov 2007116
Oct 2007122
Sept 2007129
Aug 2007127
Jul 2007119
Jun 2007127
May 2007124
Apr 2007114
Mar 2007115
Feb 2007111
Jan 2007109
Dec 200699.8
Nov 2006105
Oct 2006121
Sept 2006119
Aug 2006126
Jul 2006128
Jun 2006116
May 2006124
Apr 2006107
Mar 2006106
Feb 2006105
Jan 2006107
Dec 2005108
Nov 2005100
Oct 2005155
Sept 2005221
Aug 2005228
Jul 2005223
Jun 2005214
May 2005170
Apr 2005158
Mar 2005165
Feb 2005150
Jan 2005134
Dec 2004126
Nov 2004116
Oct 2004120
Sept 2004110
Aug 2004100
Jul 200486
Jun 200490.1
May 200495.2
Apr 200486
Mar 200476.8
Feb 200473.3
Jan 200487.6
Dec 200379.8
Nov 200395.6
Oct 2003120
Sept 2003107
Aug 2003119
Jul 2003141
Jun 2003136
May 2003136
Apr 2003135
Mar 2003135
Feb 2003136
Jan 2003126
Dec 2002122
Nov 2002123
Oct 2002120
Sept 2002153
Aug 2002177
Jul 2002176
Jun 2002157
May 2002150
Apr 2002149
Mar 2002150
Feb 2002140
Jan 2002116
Dec 2001105
Nov 2001111
Oct 2001151
Sept 2001153
Aug 2001170
Jul 2001154
Jun 2001153
May 2001151
Apr 2001149
Mar 2001137
Feb 2001100
Jan 200199
Dec 200087
Nov 200091.2
Oct 200098
Sept 200095.1
Aug 200098.9
Jul 200099
Jun 2000101
May 200096.8
Apr 200085.2
Mar 200088.1
Feb 200085.4
Jan 2000100
Dec 199997.3
Nov 199997
Oct 1999102
Sept 1999111
Aug 1999120
Jul 1999120
Jun 1999112
May 1999112
Apr 1999117
Mar 1999110
Feb 1999109
Jan 1999105
Dec 1998113
Nov 1998112
Oct 1998123
Sept 1998184
Aug 1998184
Jul 1998162
Jun 1998175
May 1998173
Apr 1998177
Mar 1998154
Feb 1998153
Jan 1998137
Dec 1997134
Nov 1997126
Oct 1997134
Sept 1997129
Aug 1997139
Jul 1997133
Jun 1997135
May 1997134
Apr 1997127
Mar 1997138
Feb 1997127
Jan 1997116
Dec 1996108
Nov 1996112
Oct 1996161
Sept 1996180
Aug 1996191
Jul 1996155
Jun 1996142
May 1996122
Apr 1996119
Mar 1996115
Feb 1996106
Jan 199699.8
Dec 199585.9
Nov 199572
Oct 199594.6
Sept 199597
Aug 199591.7
Jul 199586.8
Jun 199590
May 199590
Apr 199590
Mar 199577
Feb 199574.7
Jan 199567
Dec 199452
Nov 199461.5
Oct 199482.8
Sept 199476.3
Aug 199490
Jul 199490
Jun 199490
May 199483.2
Apr 199479.6
Mar 199477
Feb 199468
Jan 199454.5
Dec 199354.5
Nov 199358.2
Oct 199372
Sept 199374.5
Aug 199377
Jul 199376.3
Jun 199374.8
May 199372.3
Apr 199372.2
Mar 199360
Feb 199359
Jan 199351.8
Dec 199256.2
Nov 199264
Oct 199255.5
Sept 199261.8
Aug 199268
Jul 199266
Jun 199264
May 199264
Apr 199272.7
Mar 199264
Feb 199258
Jan 199255.5

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-137-73-retail-kg.