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Maize (white) in Koudougou

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

137–199

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

123–211

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 137 and 199 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 123 and 211 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Koudougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 137 and 199 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 123 and 211 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 165–192 177 142–195 274 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 151–196 176 118–211 265 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 137–199 174 89.5–235 253 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 127–204 172 78–268 250 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 123–211 173 69.9–274 252 –
Price history (283 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026195
Aug 2026177
Jul 2026164
Jun 2026177
May 2026178
Apr 2026180
Mar 2026177
Feb 2026177
Jan 2026183
Dec 2025194
Nov 2025190
Oct 2025204
Sept 2025249
Aug 2025259
Jul 2025285
Jun 2025280
May 2025285
Apr 2025285
Mar 2025285
Feb 2025285
Jan 2025263
Dec 2024267
Nov 2024272
Oct 2024297
Sept 2024308
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024290
Jun 2024239
May 2024235
Apr 2024232
Mar 2024230
Feb 2024231
Jan 2024231
Dec 2023226
Nov 2023213
Oct 2023226
Sept 2023230
Aug 2023233
Jul 2023244
Jun 2023243
May 2023241
Apr 2023250
Mar 2023259
Feb 2023250
Jan 2023250
Dec 2022243
Nov 2022241
Oct 2022268
Sept 2022281
Aug 2022286
Jul 2022290
Jun 2022295
May 2022301
Apr 2022299
Mar 2022257
Feb 2022232
Jan 2022232
Dec 2021225
Nov 2021217
Oct 2021223
Sept 2021218
Aug 2021214
Jul 2021214
Jun 2021204
May 2021209
Apr 2021194
Mar 2021182
Feb 2021170
Jan 2021165
Dec 2020161
Nov 2020165
Oct 2020170
Sept 2020170
Aug 2020165
Jul 2020154
Jun 2020143
May 2020138
Apr 2020138
Mar 2020134
Feb 2020134
Jan 2020127
Dec 2019125
Nov 2019125
Oct 2019127
Sept 2019125
Aug 2019143
Jul 2019143
Jun 2019143
May 2019141
Apr 2019143
Mar 2019143
Feb 2019171
Jan 2019161
Dec 2018161
Nov 2018173
Oct 2018170
Sept 2018185
Aug 2018196
Jul 2018192
Jun 2018188
May 2018188
Apr 2018181
Mar 2018180
Feb 2018172
Jan 2018162
Dec 2017162
Nov 2017171
Oct 2017174
Sept 2017171
Aug 2017167
Jul 2017162
Jun 2017162
May 2017162
Apr 2017162
Mar 2017157
Feb 2017153
Jan 2017153
Dec 2016153
Nov 2016160
Oct 2016171
Sept 2016171
Aug 2016171
Jul 2016171
Jun 2016171
May 2016171
Apr 2016168
Mar 2016159
Feb 2016153
Jan 2016147
Dec 2015153
Nov 2015158
Oct 2015162
Sept 2015162
Aug 2015162
Jul 2015170
Jun 2015162
May 2015153
Apr 2015144
Mar 2015144
Feb 2015144
Jan 2015153
Dec 2014143
Nov 2014141
Oct 2014140
Sept 2014135
Jul 2014135
Jun 2014135
May 2014135
Apr 2014155
Mar 2014144
Feb 2014144
Dec 2013142
Nov 2013144
Oct 2013150
Sept 2013153
Aug 2013162
Jul 2013159
Jun 2013153
May 2013155
Apr 2013155
Mar 2013162
Feb 2013162
Jan 2013167
Dec 2012162
Nov 2012171
Oct 2012197
Sept 2012221
Aug 2012217
Jul 2012214
Jun 2012199
May 2012210
Apr 2012205
Mar 2012188
Feb 2012179
Jan 2012179
Dec 2011179
Nov 2011173
Oct 2011202
Sept 2011188
Aug 2011165
Jul 2011152
Jun 2011141
May 2011134
Apr 2011134
Mar 2011134
Feb 2011131
Jan 2011125
Dec 2010120
Nov 2010118
Oct 2010125
Sept 2010130
Aug 2010134
Jul 2010134
Jun 2010132
May 2010138
Apr 2010143
Mar 2010146
Feb 2010147
Jan 2010125
Dec 2009136
Nov 2009134
Oct 2009146
Sept 2009155
Aug 2009174
Jul 2009164
Jun 2009152
May 2009152
Apr 2009155
Mar 2009154
Feb 2009143
Jan 2009139
Dec 2008113
Nov 2008107
Oct 2008158
Sept 2008200
Aug 2008193
Jul 2008174
Jun 2008182
May 2008159
Apr 2008133
Mar 200886.8
Feb 2008115
Jan 2008115
Dec 2007117
Nov 2007135
Oct 2007125
Sept 200795.9
Aug 200795.8
Jul 200789.6
Jun 200790.2
May 200796
Apr 200797.2
Mar 200788
Feb 200788.3
Jan 200779.5
Dec 200680.4
Nov 200686.1
Oct 200698.2
Sept 2006103
Aug 2006107
Jul 2006116
Jun 2006125
May 2006125
Apr 2006125
Mar 2006120
Feb 2006117
Jan 2006117
Dec 2005113
Nov 2005108
Oct 2005126
Sept 2005173
Aug 2005204
Jul 2005223
Jun 2005222
May 2005176
Apr 2005168
Mar 2005146
Feb 2005127
Jan 2005118
Dec 2004119
Nov 2004120
Oct 2004124
Sept 2004110
Aug 2004106
Jul 2004103
Jun 200475
May 200478.4
Apr 200477.3
Mar 200475.6
Feb 200474
Jan 200481.3
Dec 200383
Nov 200388.3
Oct 200392.9
Sept 200391.9
Aug 200398.9
Jul 2003110
Jun 2003115
May 2003119
Apr 2003131
Mar 2003130
Feb 2003124
Jan 2003127

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-138-67-retail-kg.