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Millet in Koudougou

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

216–312

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

189–337

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 216 and 312 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 189 and 337 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Koudougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 216 and 312 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 189 and 337 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 481); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 244–282 254 230–308 356 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 230–299 256 207–366 347 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 216–312 257 149–384 347 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 192–323 255 106–451 337 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 189–337 256 107–481 339 –
Price history (414 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026279
Aug 2026254
Jul 2026254
Jun 2026271
May 2026271
Apr 2026271
Mar 2026273
Feb 2026274
Jan 2026268
Dec 2025267
Nov 2025271
Oct 2025278
Sept 2025316
Aug 2025334
Jul 2025340
Jun 2025327
May 2025339
Apr 2025348
Mar 2025347
Feb 2025346
Jan 2025333
Dec 2024358
Nov 2024371
Oct 2024331
Sept 2024332
Aug 2024327
Jul 2024320
Jun 2024313
May 2024312
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024300
Feb 2024300
Jan 2024300
Dec 2023300
Nov 2023300
Oct 2023300
Sept 2023296
Aug 2023304
Jul 2023320
Jun 2023319
May 2023327
Apr 2023333
Mar 2023333
Feb 2023334
Jan 2023337
Dec 2022337
Nov 2022394
Oct 2022410
Sept 2022417
Aug 2022416
Jul 2022370
Jun 2022364
May 2022369
Apr 2022358
Mar 2022320
Feb 2022277
Jan 2022283
Dec 2021282
Nov 2021261
Oct 2021240
Sept 2021247
Aug 2021257
Jul 2021249
Jun 2021253
May 2021250
Apr 2021250
Mar 2021243
Feb 2021233
Jan 2021233
Dec 2020225
Nov 2020225
Oct 2020238
Sept 2020245
Aug 2020233
Jul 2020213
Jun 2020200
May 2020192
Apr 2020192
Mar 2020179
Feb 2020167
Jan 2020167
Dec 2019154
Nov 2019154
Oct 2019165
Sept 2019171
Aug 2019183
Jul 2019183
Jun 2019179
May 2019192
Apr 2019183
Mar 2019185
Feb 2019204
Jan 2019217
Dec 2018217
Nov 2018244
Oct 2018247
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018233
May 2018244
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018233
Jan 2018233
Dec 2017237
Nov 2017258
Oct 2017267
Sept 2017267
Aug 2017242
Jul 2017233
Jun 2017233
May 2017229
Apr 2017206
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017189
Jan 2017200
Dec 2016196
Nov 2016187
Oct 2016183
Sept 2016183
Aug 2016183
Jul 2016183
Jun 2016183
May 2016183
Apr 2016183
Mar 2016187
Feb 2016183
Jan 2016183
Dec 2015189
Nov 2015200
Oct 2015200
Sept 2015200
Aug 2015200
Jul 2015200
Jun 2015200
May 2015192
Apr 2015183
Mar 2015183
Feb 2015183
Jan 2015182
Dec 2014202
Nov 2014192
Oct 2014196
Sept 2014200
Jul 2014197
Jun 2014183
May 2014183
Apr 2014200
Mar 2014200
Feb 2014192
Dec 2013163
Nov 2013183
Oct 2013197
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013200
Jul 2013200
Jun 2013200
May 2013200
Mar 2013200
Feb 2013200
Jan 2013207
Dec 2012204
Nov 2012230
Oct 2012269
Sept 2012286
Aug 2012279
Jul 2012265
Jun 2012258
May 2012271
Apr 2012274
Mar 2012221
Feb 2012183
Jan 2012183
Dec 2011178
Nov 2011168
Oct 2011174
Sept 2011168
Aug 2011162
Jul 2011165
Jun 2011161
May 2011162
Apr 2011167
Mar 2011159
Feb 2011167
Jan 2011166
Dec 2010158
Nov 2010158
Oct 2010167
Sept 2010174
Aug 2010177
Jul 2010166
Jun 2010168
May 2010160
Apr 2010160
Mar 2010164
Feb 2010167
Jan 2010167
Dec 2009149
Nov 2009157
Oct 2009154
Sept 2009158
Aug 2009188
Jul 2009179
Jun 2009160
May 2009161
Apr 2009152
Mar 2009154
Feb 2009151
Jan 2009147
Dec 2008113
Nov 2008171
Oct 2008154
Sept 2008183
Aug 2008171
Jul 2008168
Jun 2008179
May 2008167
Apr 2008139
Mar 2008129
Feb 2008124
Jan 2008118
Dec 2007119
Nov 2007126
Oct 2007120
Sept 2007111
Aug 2007117
Jul 2007112
Jun 2007104
May 2007103
Apr 2007114
Mar 2007103
Feb 2007103
Jan 200785.3
Dec 200690.5
Nov 200694.3
Oct 2006103
Sept 2006107
Aug 2006112
Jul 2006120
Jun 2006127
May 2006126
Apr 2006122
Mar 2006113
Feb 2006111
Jan 2006109
Dec 2005108
Nov 2005123
Oct 2005234
Sept 2005260
Aug 2005247
Jul 2005219
Jun 2005216
May 2005184
Apr 2005171
Mar 2005178
Feb 2005148
Jan 2005137
Dec 2004122
Nov 2004133
Oct 2004126
Sept 2004106
Aug 2004112
Jul 200496.2
Jun 200488.2
May 200488.7
Apr 200486.5
Mar 200483
Feb 200486.3
Jan 200480.2
Dec 200382.3
Nov 200398.6
Oct 200394.2
Sept 2003101
Aug 200394.8
Jul 2003107
Jun 2003123
May 2003122
Apr 2003126
Mar 2003128
Feb 2003126
Jan 2003125
Dec 2002111
Nov 2002127
Oct 2002138
Sept 2002163
Aug 2002173
Jul 2002174
Jun 2002172
May 2002156
Apr 2002156
Mar 2002150
Feb 2002140
Jan 2002134
Dec 200198.8
Nov 2001117
Oct 2001168
Sept 2001171
Aug 2001179
Jul 2001173
Jun 2001164
May 2001158
Apr 2001157
Mar 2001139
Feb 2001106
Jan 200195.9
Dec 200096.8
Nov 200097.9
Oct 2000112
Sept 200099.5
Aug 200095.9
Jul 200092.6
Jun 200098.1
May 200095.1
Apr 200090.4
Mar 200083.2
Feb 200082.3
Jan 200092.4
Dec 1999109
Nov 1999106
Oct 1999134
Sept 1999125
Aug 1999127
Jul 1999125
Jun 1999128
May 1999131
Apr 1999131
Mar 1999125
Feb 1999114
Jan 1999113
Dec 1998112
Nov 1998128
Oct 1998188
Sept 1998201
Aug 1998201
Jul 1998187
Jun 1998174
May 1998165
Apr 1998157
Mar 1998140
Feb 1998130
Jan 1998124
Dec 1997107
Nov 1997107
Oct 1997102
Sept 1997108
Aug 1997112
Jul 1997110
Jun 1997105
May 1997115
Apr 1997102
Mar 1997102
Feb 1997112
Jan 1997112
Dec 1996105
Nov 1996130
Oct 1996182
Sept 1996185
Aug 1996186
Jul 1996174
Jun 1996136
May 1996138
Apr 1996135
Mar 1996123
Feb 1996120
Jan 1996128
Dec 199595
Nov 1995104
Oct 199595.2
Sept 1995100
Aug 199596.5
Jul 1995101
Jun 199596.5
May 199599
Apr 199599
Mar 199586
Feb 199584.5
Jan 199583
Dec 199480.5
Nov 199478
Oct 199477.8
Sept 199472.7
Aug 199471
Jul 199469
Jun 199467.2
May 199469.8
Apr 199470.2
Mar 199471
Feb 199459.8
Jan 199451.3
Dec 199356
Nov 199368.8
Oct 199376
Sept 199378.2
Aug 199380
Jul 199379.8
Jun 199373.2
May 199371
Apr 199371
Mar 199371
Feb 199372.5
Jan 199369.8
Dec 199271
Nov 199278
Oct 199280
Sept 199280.5
Aug 199280
Jul 199277.8
Jun 199271
May 199271
Apr 199271
Mar 199271.8
Feb 199270.4
Jan 199269

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-138-73-retail-kg.