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Maize (white) in Ouagadougo (Sankaryare)

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 40% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

138–196

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

120–205

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 138 and 196 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 205 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Ouagadougo (Sankaryare): XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 40% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 138 and 196 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 205 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 161–192 177 147–199 305 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 152–198 175 135–201 293 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 138–196 174 91.4–226 273 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 125–201 172 71.5–244 267 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 120–205 173 63.5–245 270 –
Price history (283 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026175
Aug 2026172
Jul 2026180
Jun 2026177
May 2026187
Apr 2026175
Mar 2026212
Feb 2026217
Jan 2026205
Dec 2025207
Nov 2025235
Oct 2025257
Sept 2025259
Aug 2025254
Jul 2025255
Jun 2025260
May 2025271
Apr 2025278
Mar 2025280
Feb 2025276
Jan 2025263
Dec 2024260
Nov 2024273
Oct 2024300
Sept 2024303
Aug 2024309
Jul 2024313
Jun 2024268
May 2024252
Apr 2024246
Mar 2024255
Feb 2024244
Jan 2024241
Dec 2023241
Nov 2023251
Oct 2023251
Sept 2023258
Aug 2023260
Jul 2023243
Jun 2023248
May 2023246
Apr 2023247
Mar 2023251
Feb 2023248
Jan 2023259
Dec 2022241
Nov 2022257
Oct 2022283
Sept 2022282
Aug 2022288
Jul 2022333
Jun 2022311
May 2022341
Apr 2022339
Mar 2022299
Feb 2022279
Jan 2022250
Dec 2021281
Nov 2021235
Oct 2021244
Sept 2021240
Aug 2021232
Jul 2021230
Jun 2021231
May 2021226
Apr 2021192
Mar 2021165
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021163
Dec 2020162
Nov 2020164
Oct 2020182
Sept 2020184
Aug 2020184
Jul 2020166
Jun 2020165
May 2020147
Apr 2020147
Mar 2020146
Feb 2020146
Jan 2020155
Dec 2019137
Nov 2019131
Oct 2019142
Sept 2019148
Aug 2019149
Jul 2019156
Jun 2019161
May 2019161
Apr 2019156
Mar 2019152
Feb 2019152
Jan 2019154
Dec 2018154
Nov 2018160
Oct 2018178
Sept 2018194
Aug 2018194
Jul 2018192
Jun 2018171
May 2018171
Apr 2018172
Mar 2018177
Feb 2018178
Jan 2018147
Dec 2017150
Nov 2017149
Oct 2017165
Sept 2017188
Aug 2017172
Jul 2017157
Jun 2017159
May 2017159
Apr 2017159
Mar 2017150
Feb 2017150
Jan 2017142
Dec 2016135
Nov 2016154
Oct 2016150
Sept 2016167
Aug 2016164
Jul 2016161
Jun 2016155
May 2016162
Apr 2016148
Mar 2016154
Feb 2016155
Jan 2016149
Dec 2015145
Nov 2015140
Oct 2015155
Sept 2015145
Aug 2015145
Jul 2015144
Jun 2015147
May 2015139
Apr 2015142
Mar 2015126
Feb 2015126
Jan 2015164
Dec 2014125
Nov 2014143
Oct 2014143
Sept 2014138
Jul 2014162
Jun 2014146
May 2014145
Apr 2014162
Mar 2014150
Feb 2014145
Dec 2013153
Nov 2013144
Oct 2013145
Sept 2013154
Aug 2013160
Jul 2013161
Jun 2013159
May 2013155
Apr 2013162
Mar 2013163
Feb 2013166
Jan 2013158
Dec 2012165
Nov 2012170
Oct 2012192
Sept 2012204
Aug 2012208
Jul 2012208
Jun 2012199
May 2012203
Apr 2012205
Mar 2012195
Feb 2012190
Jan 2012208
Dec 2011206
Nov 2011185
Oct 2011198
Sept 2011185
Aug 2011184
Jul 2011170
Jun 2011156
May 2011153
Apr 2011149
Mar 2011147
Feb 2011148
Jan 2011146
Dec 2010133
Nov 2010125
Oct 2010129
Sept 2010144
Aug 2010155
Jul 2010163
Jun 2010151
May 2010156
Apr 2010153
Mar 2010162
Feb 2010165
Jan 2010165
Dec 2009155
Nov 2009149
Oct 2009151
Sept 2009168
Aug 2009173
Jul 2009169
Jun 2009174
May 2009184
Apr 2009179
Mar 2009169
Feb 2009179
Jan 2009148
Dec 2008118
Nov 2008120
Oct 2008162
Sept 2008218
Aug 2008192
Jul 2008188
Jun 2008191
May 2008170
Apr 2008150
Mar 2008141
Feb 2008138
Jan 2008139
Dec 2007132
Nov 2007138
Oct 2007117
Sept 2007102
Aug 2007105
Jul 200795
Jun 2007102
May 200799.9
Apr 2007102
Mar 200797.3
Feb 200792.6
Jan 200793.7
Dec 200698.3
Nov 200697.1
Oct 2006108
Sept 2006107
Aug 2006120
Jul 2006135
Jun 2006178
May 2006165
Apr 2006159
Mar 2006141
Feb 2006134
Jan 2006136
Dec 2005132
Nov 2005132
Oct 2005140
Sept 2005170
Aug 2005193
Jul 2005246
Jun 2005246
May 2005184
Apr 2005168
Mar 2005166
Feb 2005147
Jan 2005123
Dec 2004129
Nov 2004134
Oct 2004133
Sept 2004120
Aug 2004122
Jul 2004109
Jun 200497.4
May 200496.5
Apr 200499.7
Mar 200494.1
Feb 200496.5
Jan 200494.2
Dec 200396.8
Nov 200390.4
Oct 200391.5
Sept 2003105
Aug 2003108
Jul 2003119
Jun 2003131
May 2003128
Apr 2003143
Mar 2003128
Feb 2003133
Jan 2003125

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-139-67-retail-kg.