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Millet in Ouagadougo (Sankaryare)

CENTRE, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

242–356

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

209–379

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 242 and 356 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 379 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Ouagadougo (Sankaryare): XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 242 and 356 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 379 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 594); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 273–321 285 257–351 411 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 258–339 288 199–418 400 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 242–356 287 179–424 397 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 225–370 286 152–499 396 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 209–379 286 132–594 381 –
Price history (414 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026328
Aug 2026284
Jul 2026269
Jun 2026272
May 2026284
Apr 2026264
Mar 2026278
Feb 2026281
Jan 2026278
Dec 2025281
Nov 2025301
Oct 2025309
Sept 2025336
Aug 2025336
Jul 2025371
Jun 2025402
May 2025405
Apr 2025415
Mar 2025430
Feb 2025431
Jan 2025418
Dec 2024423
Nov 2024436
Oct 2024447
Sept 2024478
Aug 2024484
Jul 2024447
Jun 2024359
May 2024349
Apr 2024345
Mar 2024348
Feb 2024340
Jan 2024340
Dec 2023342
Nov 2023340
Oct 2023336
Sept 2023346
Aug 2023347
Jul 2023329
Jun 2023330
May 2023320
Apr 2023315
Mar 2023327
Feb 2023334
Jan 2023334
Dec 2022401
Nov 2022439
Oct 2022449
Sept 2022445
Aug 2022468
Jul 2022436
Jun 2022405
May 2022411
Apr 2022417
Mar 2022410
Feb 2022358
Jan 2022304
Dec 2021367
Nov 2021307
Oct 2021248
Sept 2021248
Aug 2021249
Jul 2021248
Jun 2021247
May 2021242
Apr 2021242
Mar 2021243
Feb 2021249
Jan 2021249
Dec 2020246
Nov 2020249
Oct 2020261
Sept 2020265
Aug 2020261
Jul 2020229
Jun 2020221
May 2020214
Apr 2020214
Mar 2020213
Feb 2020214
Jan 2020214
Dec 2019200
Nov 2019175
Oct 2019199
Sept 2019208
Aug 2019209
Jul 2019221
Jun 2019231
May 2019230
Apr 2019222
Mar 2019217
Feb 2019224
Jan 2019228
Dec 2018228
Nov 2018248
Oct 2018255
Sept 2018256
Aug 2018256
Jul 2018266
Jun 2018268
May 2018258
Apr 2018256
Mar 2018259
Feb 2018253
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017251
Nov 2017258
Oct 2017264
Sept 2017263
Aug 2017250
Jul 2017236
Jun 2017233
May 2017237
Apr 2017223
Mar 2017212
Feb 2017201
Jan 2017189
Dec 2016196
Nov 2016201
Oct 2016202
Sept 2016208
Aug 2016203
Jul 2016195
Jun 2016198
May 2016204
Apr 2016202
Mar 2016196
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016194
Dec 2015190
Nov 2015207
Oct 2015210
Sept 2015205
Aug 2015205
Jul 2015201
Jun 2015204
May 2015196
Apr 2015201
Mar 2015201
Feb 2015201
Jan 2015221
Dec 2014212
Nov 2014217
Oct 2014221
Sept 2014221
Jul 2014225
Jun 2014221
May 2014217
Apr 2014245
Mar 2014226
Feb 2014215
Dec 2013218
Nov 2013210
Oct 2013218
Sept 2013219
Aug 2013223
Jul 2013237
Jun 2013242
May 2013245
Mar 2013242
Feb 2013240
Jan 2013250
Dec 2012270
Nov 2012320
Oct 2012312
Sept 2012299
Aug 2012294
Jul 2012293
Jun 2012280
May 2012279
Apr 2012250
Mar 2012207
Feb 2012223
Jan 2012240
Dec 2011246
Nov 2011225
Oct 2011214
Sept 2011214
Aug 2011216
Jul 2011214
Jun 2011214
May 2011209
Apr 2011213
Mar 2011206
Feb 2011212
Jan 2011207
Dec 2010190
Nov 2010195
Oct 2010212
Sept 2010213
Aug 2010215
Jul 2010218
Jun 2010191
May 2010217
Apr 2010217
Mar 2010224
Feb 2010218
Jan 2010196
Dec 2009200
Nov 2009192
Oct 2009191
Sept 2009216
Aug 2009216
Jul 2009199
Jun 2009193
May 2009197
Apr 2009185
Mar 2009192
Feb 2009187
Jan 2009188
Dec 2008187
Nov 2008185
Oct 2008191
Sept 2008204
Aug 2008203
Jul 2008185
Jun 2008186
May 2008175
Apr 2008168
Mar 2008158
Feb 2008144
Jan 2008135
Dec 2007141
Nov 2007157
Oct 2007151
Sept 2007142
Aug 2007140
Jul 2007136
Jun 2007126
May 2007127
Apr 2007129
Mar 2007127
Feb 2007126
Jan 2007126
Dec 2006127
Nov 2006129
Oct 2006138
Sept 2006148
Aug 2006150
Jul 2006167
Jun 2006190
May 2006190
Apr 2006193
Mar 2006169
Feb 2006155
Jan 2006172
Dec 2005188
Nov 2005202
Oct 2005259
Sept 2005271
Aug 2005262
Jul 2005266
Jun 2005260
May 2005212
Apr 2005197
Mar 2005186
Feb 2005171
Jan 2005166
Dec 2004154
Nov 2004167
Oct 2004163
Sept 2004129
Aug 2004131
Jul 2004114
Jun 2004108
May 2004110
Apr 2004110
Mar 2004110
Feb 2004110
Jan 2004115
Dec 2003126
Nov 2003139
Oct 2003136
Sept 2003133
Aug 2003145
Jul 2003159
Jun 2003163
May 2003164
Apr 2003162
Mar 2003159
Feb 2003164
Jan 2003192
Dec 2002195
Nov 2002201
Oct 2002205
Sept 2002199
Aug 2002204
Jul 2002206
Jun 2002183
May 2002195
Apr 2002178
Mar 2002171
Feb 2002163
Jan 2002158
Dec 2001147
Nov 2001173
Oct 2001200
Sept 2001212
Aug 2001215
Jul 2001179
Jun 2001182
May 2001181
Apr 2001180
Mar 2001152
Feb 2001109
Jan 2001114
Dec 2000113
Nov 2000114
Oct 2000111
Sept 2000109
Aug 2000108
Jul 2000106
Jun 2000109
May 2000107
Apr 2000108
Mar 2000102
Feb 200099.6
Jan 2000107
Dec 1999121
Nov 1999121
Oct 1999121
Sept 1999129
Aug 1999135
Jul 1999128
Jun 1999126
May 1999135
Apr 1999138
Mar 1999130
Feb 1999134
Jan 1999131
Dec 1998115
Nov 1998156
Oct 1998177
Sept 1998181
Aug 1998185
Jul 1998173
Jun 1998175
May 1998171
Apr 1998159
Mar 1998137
Feb 1998132
Jan 1998130
Dec 1997122
Nov 1997123
Oct 1997129
Sept 1997134
Aug 1997137
Jul 1997137
Jun 1997135
May 1997125
Apr 1997125
Mar 1997126
Feb 1997134
Jan 1997148
Dec 1996164
Nov 1996160
Oct 1996164
Sept 1996163
Aug 1996163
Jul 1996152
Jun 1996130
May 1996129
Apr 1996124
Mar 1996118
Feb 1996113
Jan 1996101
Dec 1995104
Nov 1995104
Oct 1995103
Sept 1995101
Aug 199595.3
Jul 199596.6
Jun 199599.8
May 199599
Apr 199597.2
Mar 199590.2
Feb 199588.5
Jan 199588
Dec 199491
Nov 199488
Oct 199487
Sept 199485
Aug 199487.7
Jul 199483.6
Jun 199477.8
May 199482.5
Apr 199473.7
Mar 199472.5
Feb 199469.5
Jan 199471.6
Dec 199373.8
Nov 199377
Oct 199378.5
Sept 199383.8
Aug 199382.7
Jul 199381
Jun 199376.2
May 199372.2
Apr 199373.8
Mar 199386
Feb 199388.8
Jan 199384.5
Dec 199288.5
Nov 199290
Oct 199295
Sept 199297
Aug 199290
Jul 199296.3
Jun 199294.7
May 199287
Apr 199283.5
Mar 199287.2
Feb 199289.5
Jan 199290

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-139-73-retail-kg.