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Maize (white) in Tenkodogo

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 37% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

130–197

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

124–215

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 197 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 124 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Tenkodogo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 197 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 124 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 163–197 175 146–198 293 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 145–196 174 112–211 266 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 130–197 167 83.2–215 248 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 132–205 169 93.3–241 256 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 124–215 172 74–293 262 –
Price history (279 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026188
Aug 2026172
Jul 2026201
Jun 2026192
May 2026191
Apr 2026188
Mar 2026200
Feb 2026196
Jan 2026205
Dec 2025191
Nov 2025195
Oct 2025204
Sept 2025220
Aug 2025253
Jul 2025255
Jun 2025254
May 2025254
Apr 2025261
Mar 2025259
Feb 2025248
Jan 2025237
Dec 2024241
Nov 2024234
Oct 2024265
Sept 2024294
Aug 2024292
Jul 2024273
Jun 2024245
May 2024252
Apr 2024252
Mar 2024245
Feb 2024237
Jan 2024234
Dec 2023248
Nov 2023233
Oct 2023243
Sept 2023257
Aug 2023269
Jul 2023276
Jun 2023270
May 2023277
Apr 2023273
Mar 2023264
Feb 2023252
Jan 2023252
Dec 2022241
Nov 2022214
Oct 2022255
Sept 2022290
Aug 2022295
Jul 2022296
Jun 2022266
May 2022272
Apr 2022259
Mar 2022244
Feb 2022223
Jan 2022225
Dec 2021206
Nov 2021209
Oct 2021209
Sept 2021224
Aug 2021207
Jul 2021218
Jun 2021190
May 2021188
Apr 2021177
Mar 2021160
Feb 2021155
Jan 2021146
Dec 2020138
Nov 2020138
Oct 2020150
Sept 2020157
Aug 2020152
Jul 2020151
Jun 2020126
May 2020125
Apr 2020125
Mar 2020110
Feb 2020110
Jan 2020113
Dec 2019114
Nov 2019106
Oct 2019113
Sept 2019120
Aug 2019116
Jul 2019117
Jun 2019132
May 2019140
Apr 2019136
Mar 2019133
Feb 2019134
Jan 2019148
Dec 2018148
Nov 2018139
Oct 2018155
Sept 2018172
Aug 2018174
Jul 2018173
Jun 2018175
May 2018168
Apr 2018156
Mar 2018156
Feb 2018158
Jan 2018152
Dec 2017142
Nov 2017139
Oct 2017140
Sept 2017166
Aug 2017166
Jul 2017146
Jun 2017151
May 2017150
Apr 2017150
Mar 2017143
Feb 2017134
Jan 2017135
Dec 2016137
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016148
Sept 2016170
Aug 2016176
Jul 2016171
Jun 2016172
May 2016173
Apr 2016175
Mar 2016170
Feb 2016157
Jan 2016156
Dec 2015160
Nov 2015165
Oct 2015174
Sept 2015170
Aug 2015156
Jul 2015157
Jun 2015156
May 2015150
Apr 2015138
Mar 2015129
Feb 2015125
Jan 2015141
Dec 2014123
Nov 2014118
Oct 2014124
Sept 2014126
Jul 2014125
Jun 2014125
May 2014127
Apr 2014151
Mar 2014133
Feb 2014127
Dec 2013140
Nov 2013137
Oct 2013132
Sept 2013143
Aug 2013142
Jul 2013152
Jun 2013144
Apr 2013151
Mar 2013159
Feb 2013148
Jan 2013152
Dec 2012150
Nov 2012151
Oct 2012165
Sept 2012187
May 2012175
Apr 2012184
Mar 2012167
Feb 2012161
Jan 2012153
Dec 2011164
Nov 2011158
Oct 2011161
Sept 2011164
Aug 2011170
Jul 2011160
Jun 2011149
May 2011139
Apr 2011138
Mar 2011146
Feb 2011145
Jan 2011140
Dec 2010138
Nov 2010125
Oct 2010132
Sept 2010142
Aug 2010140
Jul 2010140
Jun 2010137
May 2010133
Apr 2010134
Mar 2010134
Feb 2010134
Jan 2010135
Dec 2009130
Nov 2009127
Oct 2009124
Sept 2009149
Aug 2009163
Jul 2009166
Jun 2009152
May 2009139
Apr 2009146
Mar 2009149
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009145
Dec 2008126
Nov 2008118
Oct 2008134
Sept 2008195
Aug 2008195
Jul 2008180
Jun 2008177
May 2008182
Apr 2008149
Mar 2008152
Feb 2008146
Jan 2008140
Dec 2007136
Nov 2007150
Oct 2007121
Sept 2007106
Aug 2007102
Jul 200799.7
Jun 200786.2
May 200791.5
Apr 200794.8
Mar 200794.2
Feb 200795.4
Jan 200791.6
Dec 200692.4
Nov 200692.7
Oct 200691.2
Sept 200699
Aug 2006107
Jul 2006123
Jun 2006125
May 2006124
Apr 2006129
Mar 2006121
Feb 2006115
Jan 2006121
Dec 2005119
Nov 2005113
Oct 2005116
Sept 2005170
Aug 2005227
Jul 2005211
Jun 2005199
May 2005152
Apr 2005151
Mar 2005140
Feb 2005131
Jan 2005122
Dec 2004124
Nov 2004110
Oct 2004101
Sept 2004100
Aug 2004102
Jul 200497.1
Jun 200483.6
May 200481.8
Apr 200481.8
Mar 200481.8
Feb 200469.5
Jan 200473.8
Dec 200373.6
Nov 200376.2
Oct 200371.8
Sept 200391.4
Aug 200391.1
Jul 2003100
Jun 2003107
May 2003106
Apr 2003109
Mar 2003106
Feb 2003107
Jan 2003108

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-140-67-retail-kg.