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Millet in Tenkodogo

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

227–361

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

204–390

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 204 and 390 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Tenkodogo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 204 and 390 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 641); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 260–319 286 252–374 401 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 241–334 287 208–456 383 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 227–361 284 149–537 384 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 212–382 282 129–641 383 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 204–390 284 118–616 380 –
Price history (410 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026313
Aug 2026286
Jul 2026306
Jun 2026279
May 2026310
Apr 2026298
Mar 2026320
Feb 2026288
Jan 2026284
Dec 2025312
Nov 2025301
Oct 2025329
Sept 2025328
Aug 2025390
Jul 2025362
Jun 2025397
May 2025388
Apr 2025408
Mar 2025403
Feb 2025370
Jan 2025392
Dec 2024376
Nov 2024379
Oct 2024382
Sept 2024396
Aug 2024416
Jul 2024357
Jun 2024327
May 2024321
Apr 2024314
Mar 2024328
Feb 2024290
Jan 2024320
Dec 2023307
Nov 2023293
Oct 2023298
Sept 2023323
Aug 2023287
Jul 2023315
Jun 2023312
May 2023345
Apr 2023333
Mar 2023299
Feb 2023292
Jan 2023314
Dec 2022356
Nov 2022407
Oct 2022415
Sept 2022412
Aug 2022428
Jul 2022386
Jun 2022378
May 2022367
Apr 2022371
Mar 2022340
Feb 2022282
Jan 2022291
Dec 2021242
Nov 2021252
Oct 2021227
Sept 2021239
Aug 2021242
Jul 2021239
Jun 2021240
May 2021241
Apr 2021241
Mar 2021232
Feb 2021221
Jan 2021215
Dec 2020235
Nov 2020214
Oct 2020198
Sept 2020224
Aug 2020202
Jul 2020186
Jun 2020183
May 2020161
Apr 2020161
Mar 2020156
Feb 2020154
Jan 2020147
Dec 2019146
Nov 2019138
Oct 2019145
Sept 2019139
Aug 2019148
Jul 2019149
Jun 2019155
May 2019181
Apr 2019163
Mar 2019165
Feb 2019163
Jan 2019197
Dec 2018197
Nov 2018214
Oct 2018218
Sept 2018226
Aug 2018230
Jul 2018243
Jun 2018238
May 2018239
Apr 2018231
Mar 2018227
Feb 2018222
Jan 2018210
Dec 2017223
Nov 2017215
Oct 2017206
Sept 2017225
Aug 2017231
Jul 2017211
Jun 2017216
May 2017208
Apr 2017197
Mar 2017185
Feb 2017185
Jan 2017181
Dec 2016178
Nov 2016185
Oct 2016181
Sept 2016201
Aug 2016193
Jul 2016201
Jun 2016205
May 2016205
Apr 2016186
Mar 2016182
Feb 2016175
Jan 2016173
Dec 2015181
Nov 2015173
Oct 2015176
Sept 2015173
Aug 2015183
Jul 2015186
Jun 2015178
May 2015176
Apr 2015171
Mar 2015160
Feb 2015166
Jan 2015167
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014166
Oct 2014176
Sept 2014174
Jul 2014195
Jun 2014176
May 2014176
Apr 2014191
Mar 2014177
Feb 2014172
Dec 2013163
Nov 2013181
Oct 2013164
Sept 2013185
Aug 2013189
Jul 2013192
Jun 2013184
May 2013175
Mar 2013186
Feb 2013184
Jan 2013183
Dec 2012200
Nov 2012217
Oct 2012216
Sept 2012226
May 2012210
Apr 2012229
Mar 2012194
Feb 2012173
Jan 2012169
Nov 2011166
Oct 2011157
Sept 2011159
Aug 2011166
Jul 2011160
Jun 2011158
May 2011152
Apr 2011156
Mar 2011153
Feb 2011158
Jan 2011152
Dec 2010146
Nov 2010146
Oct 2010150
Sept 2010162
Aug 2010170
Jul 2010172
Jun 2010163
May 2010161
Apr 2010159
Mar 2010153
Feb 2010145
Jan 2010152
Dec 2009136
Nov 2009137
Oct 2009127
Sept 2009147
Aug 2009167
Jul 2009171
Jun 2009152
May 2009141
Apr 2009145
Mar 2009154
Feb 2009142
Jan 2009146
Dec 2008129
Nov 2008200
Oct 2008185
Sept 2008189
Aug 2008200
Jul 2008192
Jun 2008188
May 2008190
Apr 2008169
Mar 2008162
Feb 2008158
Jan 2008147
Dec 2007141
Nov 2007148
Oct 2007127
Sept 2007117
Aug 2007107
Jul 2007110
Jun 2007103
May 2007108
Apr 2007109
Mar 2007103
Feb 2007102
Jan 200792.8
Dec 200696.5
Nov 200697
Oct 200693.2
Sept 2006115
Aug 2006126
Jul 2006124
Jun 2006125
May 2006128
Apr 2006126
Mar 2006117
Feb 2006119
Jan 2006119
Dec 2005118
Nov 2005150
Oct 2005198
Sept 2005203
Aug 2005228
Jul 2005205
Jun 2005203
May 2005173
Apr 2005175
Mar 2005155
Feb 2005142
Jan 2005128
Dec 2004133
Nov 2004126
Oct 2004120
Sept 200496.5
Aug 200496.1
Jul 200489.8
Jun 200482.8
May 200478.5
Apr 200487.9
Mar 200480.1
Feb 200465.4
Jan 200473.6
Dec 200372.4
Nov 200370
Oct 200370.4
Sept 200386.2
Aug 200388
Jul 200396.1
Jun 2003107
May 2003109
Apr 2003115
Mar 2003111
Feb 2003101
Jan 2003114
Dec 2002108
Nov 2002129
Oct 2002130
Sept 2002155
Aug 2002171
Jul 2002173
Jun 2002160
May 2002155
Apr 2002156
Mar 2002147
Feb 2002130
Jan 2002132
Dec 2001114
Nov 2001128
Oct 2001133
Sept 2001156
Aug 2001160
Jul 2001163
Jun 2001152
May 2001143
Apr 2001142
Mar 2001143
Feb 200198.5
Jan 200195
Dec 200092.1
Nov 200085.5
Oct 200080.3
Sept 200082
Aug 200090.8
Jul 200080.4
Jun 200080.4
May 200080
Apr 200079
Mar 200074.9
Feb 200073.3
Jan 200078.4
Dec 1999100
Nov 199991.6
Oct 199992
Sept 1999106
Aug 1999117
Jul 1999120
Jun 1999117
May 1999119
Apr 1999120
Mar 1999120
Feb 1999110
Jan 1999102
Dec 1998108
Nov 1998146
Oct 1998170
Sept 1998164
Aug 1998187
Jul 1998175
Jun 1998179
May 1998160
Apr 1998162
Mar 1998154
Feb 1998143
Jan 1998132
Dec 1997143
Nov 1997146
Oct 1997131
Sept 1997125
Aug 1997137
Jul 1997144
Jun 1997138
May 1997133
Apr 1997131
Mar 1997139
Feb 1997112
Jan 1997118
Dec 1996106
Nov 1996127
Oct 1996131
Sept 1996140
Aug 1996139
Jul 1996127
Jun 1996119
May 1996112
Apr 1996111
Mar 1996100
Feb 199692.8
Jan 199690.5
Dec 199586
Nov 1995103
Oct 199591.8
Sept 1995103
Aug 1995110
Jul 1995107
Jun 1995101
May 199597.2
Apr 1995101
Mar 199589.8
Feb 199586
Jan 199586
Dec 199477
Nov 199466
Oct 199458.4
Sept 199458.8
Aug 199458.3
Jul 199459
Jun 199458.5
May 199458
Apr 199455
Mar 199450.5
Feb 199446
Jan 199441.7
Dec 199351.7
Nov 199354.2
Oct 199356.2
Sept 199364
Aug 199370.3
Jul 199373
Jun 199371.7
May 199366.7
Apr 199362.5
Mar 199365
Feb 199360.2
Jan 199359
Dec 199263.8
Nov 199266.3
Oct 199266.5
Sept 199275.5
Aug 199281.5
Jul 199284
Jun 199281.5
May 199279
Apr 199280
Mar 199280.8
Feb 199280.8
Jan 199277

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-140-73-retail-kg.