Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Boromo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

287–466

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

284–522

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 287 and 466 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 284 and 522 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Boromo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 287 and 466 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 284 and 522 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 372–437 398 309–474 606 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 333–461 399 244–495 554 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 287–466 382 148–499 501 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 267–483 379 132–544 497 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 284–522 403 178–534 545 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026395
Aug 2026396
Jul 2026405
Jun 2026417
May 2026440
Apr 2026436
Mar 2026439
Feb 2026436
Jan 2026436
Dec 2025463
Nov 2025422
Oct 2025490
Sept 2025573
Aug 2025610
Jul 2025654
Jun 2025674
May 2025704
Apr 2025721
Mar 2025717
Feb 2025714
Jan 2025725
Dec 2024577
Nov 2024545
Oct 2024700
Sept 2024773
Aug 2024709
Jul 2024609
Jun 2024518
May 2024545
Apr 2024509
Mar 2024484
Feb 2024429
Jan 2024414
Dec 2023393
Nov 2023380
Oct 2023370
Sept 2023370
Aug 2023357
Jul 2023357
Jun 2023365
May 2023371
Apr 2023388
Mar 2023393
Feb 2023393
Jan 2023382
Dec 2022366
Nov 2022365
Oct 2022422
Sept 2022534
Aug 2022552
Jul 2022552
Jun 2022552
May 2022586
Apr 2022552
Mar 2022552
Feb 2022547
Jan 2022509
Dec 2021466
Nov 2021461
Oct 2021500
Sept 2021588
Aug 2021504
Jul 2021414
Jun 2021397
May 2021395
Apr 2021434
Mar 2021430
Feb 2021407
Jan 2021407
Dec 2020272
Nov 2020310
Oct 2020341
Sept 2020330
Aug 2020323
Jul 2020318
Jun 2020321
May 2020323
Apr 2020329
Mar 2020321
Feb 2020324
Jan 2020274
Dec 2019269
Nov 2019271
Oct 2019306
Sept 2019302
Aug 2019313
Jul 2019308
Jun 2019330
May 2019322
Apr 2019305
Mar 2019284
Feb 2019276
Jan 2019270
Dec 2018270
Nov 2018320
Oct 2018382
Sept 2018420
Aug 2018424
Jul 2018418
Jun 2018419
May 2018421
Apr 2018403
Mar 2018405
Feb 2018402
Jan 2018368
Dec 2017342
Nov 2017334
Oct 2017340
Sept 2017361
Aug 2017345
Jul 2017338
Jun 2017338
May 2017338
Apr 2017338
Mar 2017338
Feb 2017338
Jan 2017332
Dec 2016306
Nov 2016304
Oct 2016303
Sept 2016349
Aug 2016364
Jul 2016375
Jun 2016375
May 2016375
Apr 2016364
Mar 2016350
Feb 2016341
Jan 2016288
Dec 2015260
Nov 2015259
Oct 2015289
Sept 2015345
Aug 2015303
Jul 2015292
Jun 2015292
May 2015289
Apr 2015275
Mar 2015273
Feb 2015271

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3364-120-retail-kg.