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Beans (niebe) in Douna

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

332–551

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

349–596

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 332 and 551 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 349 and 596 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Douna: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 332 and 551 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 349 and 596 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 433–517 479 401–553 558 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 372–534 454 298–581 489 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 332–551 428 218–646 465 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 334–572 438 230–675 481 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 349–596 451 265–679 507 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026545
Aug 2026481
Jul 2026486
Jun 2026486
May 2026485
Apr 2026515
Mar 2026468
Feb 2026447
Jan 2026434
Dec 2025428
Nov 2025388
Oct 2025409
Sept 2025417
Aug 2025395
Jul 2025497
Jun 2025612
May 2025653
Apr 2025655
Mar 2025572
Feb 2025550
Jan 2025590
Dec 2024526
Nov 2024504
Oct 2024516
Sept 2024653
Aug 2024579
Jul 2024526
Jun 2024526
May 2024526
Apr 2024500
Mar 2024408
Feb 2024422
Jan 2024392
Dec 2023344
Nov 2023246
Oct 2023283
Sept 2023389
Aug 2023434
Jul 2023490
Jun 2023478
May 2023517
Apr 2023517
Mar 2023489
Feb 2023480
Jan 2023481
Dec 2022464
Nov 2022490
Oct 2022528
Sept 2022632
Aug 2022663
Jul 2022664
Jun 2022664
May 2022626
Apr 2022624
Mar 2022600
Feb 2022583
Jan 2022488
Dec 2021522
Nov 2021507
Oct 2021423
Sept 2021527
Aug 2021533
Jul 2021487
Jun 2021489
May 2021418
Apr 2021440
Mar 2021454
Feb 2021448
Jan 2021434
Dec 2020312
Nov 2020332
Oct 2020355
Sept 2020384
Aug 2020368
Jul 2020386
Jun 2020361
May 2020361
Apr 2020389
Mar 2020389
Feb 2020396
Jan 2020357
Dec 2019309
Nov 2019313
Oct 2019339
Sept 2019354
Aug 2019406
Jul 2019347
Jun 2019398
May 2019351
Apr 2019360
Mar 2019360
Feb 2019351
Jan 2019365
Dec 2018374
Nov 2018384
Oct 2018402
Sept 2018429
Aug 2018438
Jul 2018424
Jun 2018417
May 2018394
Apr 2018385
Mar 2018374
Feb 2018374
Jan 2018366
Dec 2017332
Nov 2017348
Oct 2017383
Sept 2017392
Aug 2017391
Jul 2017401
Jun 2017392
May 2017381
Apr 2017378
Mar 2017354
Feb 2017321
Jan 2017248
Dec 2016318
Nov 2016311
Oct 2016343
Sept 2016389
Aug 2016376
Jul 2016337
Jun 2016363
May 2016356
Apr 2016337
Mar 2016328
Feb 2016324
Jan 2016259
Dec 2015259
Nov 2015259
Oct 2015298
Sept 2015350
Aug 2015343
Jul 2015332
Jun 2015321
May 2015321
Apr 2015321
Mar 2015321
Feb 2015303

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3369-120-retail-kg.