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Beans (niebe) in Faramana

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

247–437

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

247–507

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 247 and 437 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 247 and 507 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Faramana: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 247 and 437 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 247 and 507 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 326–437 382 288–453 500 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 265–425 342 220–487 402 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 247–437 332 183–577 395 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 247–464 348 151–608 434 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 247–507 366 128–589 465 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026387
Aug 2026379
Jul 2026377
Jun 2026374
May 2026363
Apr 2026350
Mar 2026369
Feb 2026372
Jan 2026419
Dec 2025386
Nov 2025397
Oct 2025379
Sept 2025449
Aug 2025470
Jul 2025582
Jun 2025581
May 2025541
Apr 2025554
Mar 2025534
Feb 2025571
Jan 2025572
Dec 2024495
Nov 2024396
Oct 2024468
Sept 2024672
Aug 2024688
Jul 2024583
Jun 2024539
May 2024474
Apr 2024480
Mar 2024474
Feb 2024431
Jan 2024347
Dec 2023316
Nov 2023297
Oct 2023313
Sept 2023328
Aug 2023293
Jul 2023271
Jun 2023250
May 2023274
Apr 2023276
Mar 2023309
Feb 2023309
Jan 2023322
Dec 2022353
Nov 2022325
Oct 2022346
Sept 2022395
Aug 2022530
Jul 2022515
Jun 2022497
May 2022480
Apr 2022520
Mar 2022493
Feb 2022480
Jan 2022465
Dec 2021465
Nov 2021424
Oct 2021368
Sept 2021420
Aug 2021380
Jul 2021392
Jun 2021368
May 2021339
Apr 2021308
Mar 2021308
Feb 2021303
Jan 2021296
Dec 2020261
Nov 2020242
Oct 2020250
Sept 2020368
Aug 2020332
Jul 2020316
Jun 2020300
May 2020286
Apr 2020263
Mar 2020263
Feb 2020266
Jan 2020263
Dec 2019232
Nov 2019213
Oct 2019219
Sept 2019263
Aug 2019261
Jul 2019256
Jun 2019257
May 2019260
Apr 2019259
Mar 2019261
Feb 2019270
Jan 2019270
Dec 2018258
Nov 2018244
Oct 2018254
Sept 2018320
Aug 2018378
Jul 2018350
Jun 2018351
May 2018345
Apr 2018344
Mar 2018329
Feb 2018323
Jan 2018296
Dec 2017271
Nov 2017260
Oct 2017227
Sept 2017324
Aug 2017330
Jul 2017326
Jun 2017337
May 2017337
Apr 2017337
Mar 2017335
Feb 2017322
Jan 2017323
Dec 2016296
Oct 2016260
Sept 2016309
Aug 2016338
Jul 2016306
Jun 2016281
May 2016204
Apr 2016268
Mar 2016147
Feb 2016105
Jan 2016147
Dec 2015102
Nov 2015221
Oct 2015251
Sept 2015238
Aug 2015306
Jul 2015217
Jun 2015159
May 2015137
Apr 2015101
Mar 201582
Feb 201585
Jan 2015109

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3371-120-retail-kg.