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Beans (niebe) in Koupela

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

258–431

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

267–474

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 258 and 431 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 267 and 474 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Koupela: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 258 and 431 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 267 and 474 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 338–415 379 327–438 505 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 291–433 371 231–436 441 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 258–431 344 163–440 409 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 258–447 355 171–483 431 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 267–474 370 177–494 457 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026367
Aug 2026382
Jul 2026376
Jun 2026370
May 2026372
Apr 2026381
Mar 2026374
Feb 2026384
Jan 2026382
Dec 2025391
Nov 2025351
Oct 2025385
Sept 2025392
Aug 2025463
Jul 2025487
Jun 2025501
May 2025497
Apr 2025513
Mar 2025521
Feb 2025543
Jan 2025578
Dec 2024477
Nov 2024395
Oct 2024509
Sept 2024747
Aug 2024647
Jul 2024564
Jun 2024486
May 2024467
Apr 2024460
Mar 2024394
Feb 2024379
Jan 2024344
Dec 2023316
Nov 2023312
Oct 2023304
Sept 2023286
Aug 2023290
Jul 2023273
Jun 2023287
May 2023278
Apr 2023277
Mar 2023274
Feb 2023259
Jan 2023295
Dec 2022292
Nov 2022286
Oct 2022351
Sept 2022424
Aug 2022469
Jul 2022500
Jun 2022490
May 2022486
Apr 2022449
Mar 2022491
Feb 2022480
Jan 2022474
Dec 2021435
Nov 2021434
Oct 2021412
Sept 2021493
Aug 2021457
Jul 2021390
Jun 2021401
May 2021386
Apr 2021341
Mar 2021331
Feb 2021322
Jan 2021308
Dec 2020287
Nov 2020268
Oct 2020277
Sept 2020288
Aug 2020269
Jul 2020245
Jun 2020216
May 2020243
Apr 2020233
Mar 2020221
Feb 2020229
Jan 2020199
Dec 2019194
Nov 2019185
Oct 2019197
Sept 2019188
Aug 2019181
Jul 2019195
Jun 2019209
May 2019232
Apr 2019233
Mar 2019212
Feb 2019248
Jan 2019255
Dec 2018244
Nov 2018228
Oct 2018233
Sept 2018322
Aug 2018326
Jul 2018323
Jun 2018322
May 2018311
Apr 2018312
Mar 2018319
Feb 2018320
Jan 2018282
Dec 2017275
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017256
Sept 2017309
Aug 2017306
Jul 2017295
Jun 2017283
May 2017283
Apr 2017287
Mar 2017278
Feb 2017274
Jan 2017237
Dec 2016222
Nov 2016230
Oct 2016280
Sept 2016324
Aug 2016321
Jul 2016295
Jun 2016295
May 2016295
Apr 2016294
Mar 2016295
Feb 2016295
Jan 2016285
Dec 2015255
Nov 2015242
Oct 2015248
Sept 2015278
Aug 2015272
Jul 2015265
Jun 2015257
May 2015260
Apr 2015250
Mar 2015257
Feb 2015255

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3382-120-retail-kg.