Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in N'Dorola

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

214–400

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

208–449

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 214 and 400 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 449 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), N'Dorola: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 26% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 214 and 400 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 449 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 285–376 321 238–475 463 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 230–391 298 161–536 389 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 214–400 294 123–482 388 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 212–427 312 116–560 421 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 208–449 323 105–455 445 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026368
Aug 2026313
Jul 2026344
Jun 2026417
May 2026424
Apr 2026420
Mar 2026370
Feb 2026340
Jan 2026355
Dec 2025380
Nov 2025340
Oct 2025315
Sept 2025385
Aug 2025500
Jul 2025565
Jun 2025575
May 2025544
Apr 2025612
Mar 2025684
Feb 2025625
Jan 2025535
Dec 2024465
Nov 2024394
Oct 2024350
Sept 2024550
Aug 2024625
Jul 2024573
Jun 2024531
May 2024400
Apr 2024391
Mar 2024393
Feb 2024338
Jan 2024325
Dec 2023319
Nov 2023276
Oct 2023373
Sept 2023306
Aug 2023306
Jul 2023294
Jun 2023250
May 2023300
Apr 2023333
Mar 2023413
Feb 2023363
Jan 2023363
Dec 2022348
Nov 2022344
Oct 2022355
Sept 2022425
Aug 2022483
Jul 2022483
Jun 2022503
May 2022513
Apr 2022519
Feb 2022490
Jan 2022513
Dec 2021484
Nov 2021403
Oct 2021405
Sept 2021431
Aug 2021360
Jul 2021350
Jun 2021350
May 2021352
Apr 2021350
Mar 2021350
Feb 2021350
Jan 2021313
Dec 2020305
Nov 2020308
Oct 2020300
Sept 2020338
Aug 2020335
Jul 2020325
Jun 2020325
May 2020295
Apr 2020275
Mar 2020280
Feb 2020325
Jan 2020300
Dec 2019255
Nov 2019250
Oct 2019250
Sept 2019255
Aug 2019250
Jul 2019250
Jun 2019250
May 2019250
Apr 2019250
Mar 2019250
Feb 2019250
Jan 2019250
Dec 2018245
Nov 2018219
Oct 2018213
Sept 2018345
Aug 2018375
Jul 2018360
Jun 2018350
May 2018350
Apr 2018330
Mar 2018325
Feb 2018325
Jan 2018306
Dec 2017285
Nov 2017283
Oct 2017260
Sept 2017338
Aug 2017384
Jul 2017375
Jun 2017366
May 2017366
Apr 2017365
Mar 2017350
Feb 2017300
Jan 2017316
Dec 2016296
Nov 2016272
Oct 2016280
Sept 2016329
Aug 2016331
Jul 2016353
Jun 2016342
May 2016350
Apr 2016350
Mar 2016317
Feb 2016300
Jan 2016300
Dec 2015275
Nov 2015281
Oct 2015281
Sept 2015375
Aug 2015350
Jul 2015350
Jun 2015350
May 2015324
Apr 2015333
Mar 2015308
Feb 2015306
Jan 2015285

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3387-120-retail-kg.