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Maize (white) in Solenzo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 37% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

79.4–129

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

78.1–143

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 79.4 and 129 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 78.1 and 143 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Solenzo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 79.4 and 129 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 78.1 and 143 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 106–130 118 99.7–134 189 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 83.7–128 105 64.7–136 152 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 79.4–129 102 59.8–151 148 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 76.5–134 107 43–150 160 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 78.1–143 111 44.7–197 169 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026124
Aug 2026119
Jul 2026112
Jun 2026112
May 2026112
Apr 2026112
Mar 2026111
Feb 2026114
Jan 2026112
Dec 2025114
Nov 2025114
Oct 2025114
Sept 2025147
Aug 2025173
Jul 2025192
Jun 2025202
May 2025219
Apr 2025227
Mar 2025226
Feb 2025204
Jan 2025197
Dec 2024186
Nov 2024186
Oct 2024195
Sept 2024229
Aug 2024218
Jul 2024209
Jun 2024201
May 2024184
Apr 2024171
Mar 2024172
Feb 2024152
Jan 2024152
Dec 2023139
Nov 2023140
Oct 2023140
Sept 2023158
Aug 2023160
Jul 2023154
Jun 2023161
May 2023167
Apr 2023172
Mar 2023187
Feb 2023186
Jan 2023170
Dec 2022169
Nov 2022146
Oct 2022132
Sept 2022214
Aug 2022246
Jul 2022245
Jun 2022235
May 2022226
Apr 2022242
Mar 2022221
Feb 2022188
Jan 2022178
Dec 2021176
Nov 2021159
Oct 2021153
Sept 2021160
Aug 2021146
Jul 2021152
Jun 2021145
May 2021149
Apr 2021144
Mar 2021133
Feb 2021119
Jan 2021105
Dec 202098
Nov 202090
Oct 2020109
Sept 2020120
Aug 2020123
Jul 2020117
Jun 2020113
May 2020106
Apr 202097
Mar 2020100
Feb 202089
Jan 202086
Dec 201975
Nov 201968
Oct 201969
Sept 201986
Aug 201988
Jul 201985
Jun 201982
May 201984
Apr 201985
Mar 201988
Feb 201995
Jan 201997
Dec 201896
Nov 201889
Oct 2018102
Sept 2018157
Aug 2018169
Jul 2018165
Jun 2018157
May 2018148
Apr 2018146
Mar 2018140
Feb 2018130
Jan 2018127
Dec 2017112
Nov 201797
Oct 201797
Sept 2017118
Aug 2017130
Jul 2017123
Jun 2017128
May 2017136
Apr 2017130
Mar 2017121
Feb 2017116
Jan 2017116
Dec 2016109
Nov 2016101
Oct 201697
Sept 2016118
Aug 2016131
Jul 2016118
Jun 2016119
May 2016119
Apr 2016123
Mar 2016116
Feb 2016106
Jan 2016101
Dec 201591
Nov 201589
Oct 2015104
Sept 2015118
Aug 2015122
Jul 2015127
Jun 2015131
May 2015110
Apr 201596
Mar 201591
Feb 201587
Jan 2015120

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3395-67-retail-kg.