Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Rice (local) in Zabré

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

230–325

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

219–360

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 230 and 325 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 219 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Rice (local), Zabré: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 230 and 325 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 219 and 360 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 262–312 286 228–341 360 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 247–318 288 195–359 348 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 230–325 286 169–367 338 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 220–340 286 164–415 339 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 219–360 285 158–514 347 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026289
Aug 2026285
Jul 2026287
Jun 2026287
May 2026286
Apr 2026503
Mar 2026310
Feb 2026307
Jan 2026310
Dec 2025310
Nov 2025303
Oct 2025313
Sept 2025311
Aug 2025350
Jul 2025368
Jun 2025365
May 2025376
Apr 2025374
Mar 2025368
Feb 2025393
Jan 2025394
Dec 2024373
Nov 2024387
Oct 2024387
Sept 2024378
Aug 2024375
Jul 2024362
Jun 2024353
May 2024359
Apr 2024357
Mar 2024350
Feb 2024345
Jan 2024325
Dec 2023348
Nov 2023347
Oct 2023362
Sept 2023378
Aug 2023384
Jul 2023390
Jun 2023372
May 2023388
Apr 2023387
Mar 2023374
Feb 2023374
Jan 2023374
Dec 2022366
Nov 2022354
Oct 2022364
Sept 2022378
Aug 2022372
Jul 2022367
Jun 2022344
May 2022344
Apr 2022351
Mar 2022320
Feb 2022352
Jan 2022334
Dec 2021310
Nov 2021291
Oct 2021295
Sept 2021296
Aug 2021300
Jul 2021299
Jun 2021295
May 2021297
Apr 2021300
Mar 2021306
Feb 2021297
Jan 2021304
Dec 2020306
Nov 2020333
Oct 2020348
Sept 2020355
Aug 2020336
Jul 2020379
Jun 2020392
May 2020393
Apr 2020392
Mar 2020364
Feb 2020253
Jan 2020252
Dec 2019230
Nov 2019240
Oct 2019238
Sept 2019263
Aug 2019260
Jul 2019267
Jun 2019283
May 2019289
Apr 2019290
Mar 2019291
Feb 2019294
Jan 2019284
Dec 2018280
Nov 2018285
Oct 2018312
Sept 2018366
Aug 2018368
Jul 2018375
Jun 2018372
May 2018375
Apr 2018368
Mar 2018357
Feb 2018349
Jan 2018351
Dec 2017330
Nov 2017309
Oct 2017320
Sept 2017312
Aug 2017300
Jul 2017304
Jun 2017306
May 2017323
Apr 2017332
Mar 2017317
Feb 2017300
Jan 2017300
Dec 2016300
Nov 2016300
Oct 2016303
Sept 2016312
Aug 2016330
Jul 2016317
Jun 2016300
May 2016310
Apr 2016304
Mar 2016300
Feb 2016300
Jan 2016300
Dec 2015300
Nov 2015302
Oct 2015303
Sept 2015320
Aug 2015319
Jul 2015303
Jun 2015300
May 2015298
Apr 2015300
Mar 2015300
Feb 2015295
Jan 2015243

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3401-71-retail-kg.