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Millet in Bankass

Mopti, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

150–268

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

144–269

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 268 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 144 and 269 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Bankass: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 268 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 144 and 269 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 171–239 196 163–270 270 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 159–252 194 154–322 253 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 150–268 188 142–383 239 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 141–274 182 130–369 228 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 144–269 183 126–309 236 –
Price history (210 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026196
Jul 2026202
Jun 2026193
May 2026181
Apr 2026174
Mar 2026206
Feb 2026189
Jan 2026188
Dec 2025204
Oct 2025178
Sept 2025214
Aug 2025221
May 2025262
Apr 2025273
Mar 2025275
Feb 2025295
Jan 2025275
Oct 2024335
Sept 2024328
Aug 2024336
Jul 2024349
Jun 2024289
May 2024260
Apr 2024260
Mar 2024253
Feb 2024215
Jan 2024205
Dec 2023204
Nov 2023220
Oct 2023218
Sept 2023238
Aug 2023220
Jul 2023199
Jun 2023200
May 2023222
Apr 2023266
Mar 2023265
Feb 2023273
Jan 2023223
Nov 2022234
Oct 2022334
Sept 2022365
Aug 2022354
Jul 2022334
Jun 2022326
May 2022348
Apr 2022319
Mar 2022275
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022224
Nov 2021209
Oct 2021188
Sept 2021180
Aug 2021178
Jul 2021168
Jun 2021178
May 2021180
Apr 2021176
Mar 2021170
Feb 2021155
Jan 2021150
Nov 2020164
Oct 2020158
Sept 2020164
Aug 2020171
Jul 2020154
Jun 2020149
May 2020148
Apr 2020136
Mar 2020135
Feb 2020125
Jan 2020125
Nov 2019130
Oct 2019127
Sept 2019136
Aug 2019140
Jul 2019140
Jun 2019150
May 2019153
Apr 2019153
Mar 2019152
Feb 2019162
Jan 2019156
Dec 2018147
Nov 2018156
Oct 2018171
Sept 2018208
Aug 2018210
Jul 2018203
Jun 2018207
May 2018206
Apr 2018200
Mar 2018206
Feb 2018211
Jan 2018192
Dec 2017176
Nov 2017182
Oct 2017204
Sept 2017217
Aug 2017212
Jul 2017199
Jun 2017193
May 2017191
Apr 2017179
Mar 2017174
Feb 2017166
Jan 2017157
Dec 2016147
Nov 2016166
Oct 2016165
Sept 2016165
Aug 2016160
Jul 2016164
Jun 2016165
May 2016161
Apr 2016160
Mar 2016160
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016141
Dec 2015148
Nov 2015148
Oct 2015150
Aug 2015151
Jul 2015164
Jun 2015169
May 2015159
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015143
Feb 2015154
Jan 2015143
Dec 2014155
Nov 2014157
Oct 2014160
Sept 2014159
Aug 2014158
Jul 2014173
Jun 2014165
May 2014163
Apr 2014158
Mar 2014158
Feb 2014165
Jan 2014161
Dec 2013160
Nov 2013170
Oct 2013160
Sept 2013145
Aug 2013171
Jul 2013177
Sept 2012218
Aug 2012218
Jul 2012259
Jun 2012250
Nov 2011150
Oct 2011135
Sept 2011103
Aug 2011121
Jul 2011125
Jun 2011120
May 2011120
Apr 2011120
Mar 2011121
Feb 2011120
Jan 2011111
Dec 2010106
Nov 201097
Oct 2010109
Sept 2010116
Aug 2010132
Jul 2010145
Jun 2010135
May 2010132
Apr 2010140
Feb 2010139
Jan 2010135
Dec 2009122
Nov 2009126
Oct 2009124
Sept 2009144
Aug 2009170
Jul 2009158
Jun 2009146
May 2009137
Apr 2009134
Mar 2009135
Feb 2009138
Jan 2009126
Dec 2008105
Nov 200887.5
Oct 2008105
Sept 2008129
Aug 2008138
Jul 2008135
Jun 2008125
May 2008121
Apr 2008105
Mar 2008108
Feb 2008109
Jan 200896
Dec 200786.2
Nov 200787.5
Oct 200781.2
Sept 200786.2
Aug 200797.5
Jul 200797
Jun 200795
May 200792.5
Apr 200795
Mar 200797.5
Feb 2007100
Jan 200782

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-861-73-retail-kg.