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Millet in Diallassagou

Mopti, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

138–313

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

137–346

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

15%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 56% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 138 and 313 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 346 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 15%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Diallassagou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 56% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 138 and 313 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 137 and 346 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 15%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 556); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 171–280 230 144–296 243 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 161–301 224 159–427 243 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 138–313 194 92–487 221 15%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 137–330 188 122–556 213 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 137–346 186 108–538 218 –
Price history (210 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026250
Jul 2026185
Jun 2026173
May 2026160
Apr 2026150
Mar 2026180
Feb 2026180
Jan 2026180
Dec 2025205
Oct 2025180
Sept 2025196
Aug 2025208
Jul 2025230
Jun 2025215
May 2025225
Apr 2025245
Mar 2025258
Feb 2025275
Jan 2025258
Dec 2024216
Oct 2024321
Sept 2024314
Aug 2024321
Jul 2024337
Jun 2024268
May 2024245
Apr 2024240
Mar 2024238
Feb 2024194
Jan 2024190
Dec 2023180
Nov 2023200
Oct 2023212
Sept 2023208
Aug 2023210
Jul 2023212
Jun 2023263
May 2023275
Apr 2023273
Mar 2023235
Feb 2023216
Jan 2023225
Dec 2022235
Nov 2022196
Oct 2022320
Sept 2022365
Aug 2022336
Jul 2022324
Jun 2022318
May 2022315
Apr 2022305
Mar 2022270
Feb 2022258
Jan 2022216
Dec 2021205
Nov 2021182
Oct 2021163
Sept 2021160
Aug 2021157
Jul 2021155
Jun 2021159
May 2021169
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021166
Feb 2021150
Jan 2021145
Dec 2020140
Nov 2020160
Oct 2020148
Sept 2020140
Aug 2020162
Jul 2020149
Jun 2020136
May 2020137
Apr 2020126
Mar 2020120
Feb 2020117
Jan 2020115
Dec 2019120
Sept 2019120
Aug 2019130
Jul 2019150
May 2019215
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019150
Nov 2018150
Oct 2018170
Sept 2018225
Aug 2018210
Jul 2018204
Jun 2018207
May 2018208
Apr 2018201
Mar 2018203
Feb 2018206
Jan 2018190
Dec 2017166
Nov 2017178
Oct 2017194
Sept 2017207
Aug 2017205
Jul 2017192
Jun 2017185
May 2017186
Apr 2017176
Mar 2017173
Feb 2017161
Jan 2017152
Dec 2016144
Nov 2016161
Oct 2016160
Sept 2016160
Aug 2016155
Jul 2016159
Jun 2016160
May 2016156
Apr 2016155
Mar 2016153
Feb 2016146
Jan 2016135
Dec 2015135
Nov 2015141
Oct 2015145
Aug 2015146
Jul 2015159
Jun 2015164
May 2015154
Apr 2015145
Mar 2015150
Feb 2015153
Jan 2015137
Dec 2014148
Nov 2014152
Oct 2014150
Sept 2014147
Aug 2014142
Jul 2014165
Jun 2014160
May 2014160
Apr 2014148
Mar 2014148
Feb 2014159
Jan 2014153
Dec 2013150
Nov 2013165
Oct 2013140
Sept 2013140
Aug 2013155
Jul 2013171
Sept 2012195
Aug 2012205
Jul 2012253
Jun 2012248
Oct 2011137
Sept 201198.3
Aug 2011112
Jul 2011120
Jun 2011115
May 2011117
Apr 2011115
Mar 2011115
Feb 2011118
Jan 2011107
Dec 2010101
Nov 201091
Oct 2010106
Sept 2010112
Aug 2010131
Jul 2010140
Jun 2010135
May 2010130
Apr 2010135
Feb 2010134
Jan 2010130
Dec 2009120
Nov 2009118
Oct 2009116
Sept 2009132
Aug 2009165
Jul 2009154
Jun 2009141
May 2009133
Apr 2009130
Mar 2009130
Feb 2009132
Jan 2009124
Dec 2008105
Nov 200882.5
Oct 2008100
Sept 2008118
Aug 2008132
Jul 2008135
Jun 2008123
May 2008116
Apr 2008101
Mar 2008102
Feb 2008105
Jan 200895
Dec 200783
Nov 200781.7
Oct 200776.2
Sept 200781.2
Aug 200788.8
Jul 200792.5
Jun 200790
May 200786.7
Apr 200786.7
Mar 200790
Feb 200795
Jan 200777.5

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-865-73-retail-kg.