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Maize in Zinder Commune

Zinder, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was 9% below the national median of 51 markets (usually 8% below). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

130–201

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

128–213

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 52 markets in Niger, the median price rose 4% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 201 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 128 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize, Zinder Commune: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 52 markets in Niger, the median price rose 4% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 201 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 128 and 213 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (51 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 161–196 178 157–212 272 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 145–197 163 122–213 245 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 130–201 157 112–232 233 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 134–208 159 124–251 242 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 128–213 159 120–259 236 –
Price history (243 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026184
Aug 2026182
Jul 2026182
Jun 2026185
May 2026176
Mar 2026163
Jan 2026148
Dec 2025161
Nov 2025171
Oct 2025180
Sept 2025202
Aug 2025220
Jul 2025235
Jun 2025251
May 2025254
Feb 2025307
Dec 2024284
Nov 2024277
Oct 2024291
Sept 2024383
Aug 2024412
Jul 2024404
Jun 2024375
Apr 2024331
Mar 2024292
Dec 2023269
Nov 2023275
Oct 2023295
Sept 2023344
Aug 2023388
Jul 2023326
Jun 2023298
May 2023277
Feb 2023246
Jan 2023247
Dec 2022235
Nov 2022245
Oct 2022236
Sept 2022251
Aug 2022252
Jul 2022286
Jun 2022299
Mar 2022288
Jan 2022293
Dec 2021275
Nov 2021221
Oct 2021253
Sept 2021303
Aug 2021309
Jul 2021300
Jun 2021279
May 2021279
Apr 2021273
Feb 2021290
Dec 2019175
Nov 2019176
Oct 2019169
Sept 2019169
Aug 2019187
Jul 2019197
Mar 2019186
Feb 2019171
Dec 2018205
Oct 2018185
Sept 2018202
Aug 2018204
Jul 2018206
Jun 2018209
Apr 2018206
Nov 2017185
Oct 2017203
Sept 2017203
Aug 2017257
Jul 2017243
Jun 2017243
May 2017257
Apr 2017228
Feb 2017223
Jan 2017202
Nov 2016182
Oct 2016223
Sept 2016243
Aug 2016229
Jul 2016226
Jun 2016206
May 2016185
Apr 2016185
Feb 2016196
Jan 2016198
Dec 2015150
Oct 2015204
Sept 2015206
Aug 2015177
Jul 2015192
Jun 2015190
May 2015192
Feb 2015168
Jan 2015185
Dec 2014185
Sept 2014201
Aug 2014206
Jul 2014210
Jun 2014237
Mar 2014226
Feb 2014228
Jan 2014221
Dec 2013231
Nov 2013226
Oct 2013221
Sept 2013233
Aug 2013257
Apr 2013247
Jan 2013232
Dec 2012226
Nov 2012224
Oct 2012223
Sept 2012237
Aug 2012251
Jul 2012258
Apr 2012211
Feb 2012209
Jan 2012224
Dec 2011203
Nov 2011192
Oct 2011204
Sept 2011205
Aug 2011202
Jul 2011206
Jun 2011202
Jan 2011176
Dec 2010165
Nov 2010174
Oct 2010206
Sept 2010215
Aug 2010224
Jul 2010224
Jun 2010215
Apr 2010209
Mar 2010202
Feb 2010207
Jan 2010213
Dec 2009193
Nov 2009206
Oct 2009181
Sept 2009206
Aug 2009232
Jul 2009225
Jun 2009215
Jan 2009231
Dec 2008225
Nov 2008223
Oct 2008234
Sept 2008228
Aug 2008250
Jul 2008261
Jun 2008234
May 2008213
Apr 2008198
Jan 2008174
Dec 2007167
Nov 2007156
Oct 2007132
Sept 2007138
Aug 2007141
Jul 2007132
Jun 2007129
May 2007131
Apr 2007135
Mar 2007135
Jan 2007135
Dec 2006132
Nov 2006126
Oct 2006135
Sept 2006156
Aug 2006164
Jul 2006162
Jun 2006161
May 2006154
Apr 2006158
Feb 2006154
Jan 2006153
Dec 2005154
Nov 2005153
Oct 2005162
Sept 2005238
Aug 2005280
Jul 2005251
Jun 2005230
May 2005224
Apr 2005215
Mar 2005187
Jan 2005172
Dec 2004163
Nov 2004158
Oct 2004159
Sept 2004153
Aug 2004145
Jul 2004139
Jun 2004142
Mar 2004119
Feb 2004109
Jan 2004103
Dec 2003102
Nov 2003102
Oct 2003105
Sept 200397
Aug 200397
Jul 2003106
Jun 2003113
May 2003115
Mar 2003120
Jan 2003128
Dec 2002138
Nov 2002135
Oct 2002147
Sept 2002200
Aug 2002231
Jul 2002226
Jun 2002223
Apr 2002189
Jan 2002190
Dec 2001170
Nov 2001158
Oct 2001157
Sept 2001162
Aug 2001195
Jul 2001230
Jun 2001198
May 2001168
Apr 2001187
Mar 2001182
Feb 2001151
Jan 2001135
Dec 2000118
Nov 2000140
Oct 2000135
Sept 2000124
Aug 2000119
Jul 2000116
Jun 2000113
Apr 2000116
Mar 2000106
Jan 2000107

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-1463-51-retail-kg.