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Millet in Kazoe

Zinder, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was about the same as the national median of 53 markets (usually 6% below). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

159–271

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

158–285

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 16% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 159 and 271 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 158 and 285 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Kazoe: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 16% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 159 and 271 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 158 and 285 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 222–292 256 201–299 315 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 185–286 225 147–294 289 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 159–271 197 154–304 245 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 157–277 196 150–370 246 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 158–285 202 144–365 253 –
Price history (197 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026257
Aug 2026276
Jul 2026289
Jun 2026248
May 2026238
Apr 2026220
Mar 2026211
Feb 2026184
Jan 2026188
Dec 2025182
Nov 2025182
Oct 2025218
Sept 2025259
Aug 2025285
Jul 2025305
Jun 2025291
May 2025299
Apr 2025292
Mar 2025290
Feb 2025291
Jan 2025319
Dec 2024250
Nov 2024251
Oct 2024262
Sept 2024369
Aug 2024488
Jul 2024468
Jun 2024359
May 2024324
Apr 2024304
Mar 2024282
Feb 2024279
Jan 2024267
Dec 2023264
Nov 2023270
Oct 2023321
Sept 2023307
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023261
Jun 2023263
May 2023266
Apr 2023258
Mar 2023234
Feb 2023224
Jan 2023213
Dec 2022240
Nov 2022313
Oct 2022323
Sept 2022322
Aug 2022321
Jul 2022319
Jun 2022316
May 2022315
Apr 2022302
Mar 2022293
Feb 2022285
Jan 2022245
Dec 2021218
Nov 2021227
Oct 2021247
Sept 2021277
Aug 2021275
Jul 2021272
Jun 2021265
May 2021253
Apr 2021240
Mar 2021238
Feb 2021191
Jan 2021190
Dec 2020239
Nov 2020164
Oct 2020299
Sept 2020287
Aug 2020275
Jul 2020238
Jun 2020200
May 2020200
Apr 2020200
Mar 2020198
Feb 2020230
Jan 2020208
Dec 2019157
Nov 2019156
Oct 2019194
Sept 2019203
Aug 2019171
Jul 2019173
Jun 2019195
May 2019197
Apr 2019198
Mar 2019198
Feb 2019197
Jan 2019196
Dec 2018197
Nov 2018205
Oct 2018204
Sept 2018252
Aug 2018254
Jul 2018255
Jun 2018245
May 2018238
Apr 2018231
Mar 2018226
Feb 2018223
Jan 2018241
Dec 2017257
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017303
Sept 2017308
Aug 2017308
Jul 2017308
Jun 2017285
May 2017275
Apr 2017256
Mar 2017236
Feb 2017198
Jan 2017198
Nov 2016188
Oct 2016225
Sept 2016240
Aug 2016218
Jul 2016216
Jun 2016191
May 2016183
Feb 2016162
Jan 2016161
Dec 2015161
Oct 2015209
Sept 2015246
Aug 2015258
Jul 2015262
Jun 2015258
May 2015241
Apr 2015223
Mar 2015216
Feb 2015219
Jan 2015228
Nov 2014211
Oct 2014226
Sept 2014250
Aug 2014285
Jul 2014274
Jun 2014256
May 2014256
Apr 2014255
Mar 2014291
Feb 2014291
Jan 2014293
Dec 2013295
Nov 2013255
Oct 2013271
Sept 2013295
Aug 2013309
Jul 2013302
Jun 2013266
May 2013270
Apr 2013269
Mar 2013285
Jan 2013264
Dec 2012280
Nov 2012212
Oct 2012264
Sept 2012323
Aug 2012278
Jul 2012266
May 2012254
Apr 2012250
Dec 2011195
Nov 2011165
Oct 2011178
Sept 2011198
Jul 2011184
Jun 2011185
May 2011192
Apr 2011168
Mar 2011162
Jan 2011167
Dec 2010142
Nov 2010146
Oct 2010216
Sept 2010226
Aug 2010245
Jul 2010236
Jun 2010239
May 2010220
Apr 2010209
Feb 2010205
Jan 2010207
Nov 2009193
Oct 2009186
Sept 2009233
Aug 2009233
Jul 2009201
Jun 2009192
May 2009191
Apr 2009192
Mar 2009190

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-591-73-retail-kg.