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Millet in Maine Soroa

Diffa, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was 13% below the national median of 53 markets (usually 9% below). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

141–247

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

139–252

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 141 and 247 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 139 and 252 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Maine Soroa: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 14% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 141 and 247 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 139 and 252 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 183–252 203 144–275 295 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 145–242 173 130–260 246 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 141–247 169 124–260 247 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 140–248 167 132–254 241 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 139–252 174 130–268 252 –
Price history (198 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026229
Aug 2026237
Jul 2026261
Jun 2026242
May 2026208
Apr 2026181
Mar 2026194
Feb 2026161
Jan 2026147
Dec 2025162
Nov 2025177
Oct 2025175
Sept 2025189
Aug 2025239
Jul 2025281
Jun 2025280
May 2025249
Apr 2025241
Mar 2025243
Feb 2025256
Jan 2025256
Dec 2024246
Nov 2024257
Oct 2024293
Sept 2024377
Aug 2024483
Jul 2024474
Jun 2024460
May 2024366
Apr 2024372
Mar 2024344
Feb 2024306
Jan 2024303
Dec 2023298
Nov 2023350
Oct 2023338
Sept 2023360
Aug 2023358
Jul 2023318
Jun 2023273
May 2023260
Apr 2023286
Mar 2023283
Feb 2023246
Jan 2023258
Dec 2022263
Nov 2022262
Oct 2022262
Sept 2022413
Aug 2022299
Jul 2022288
Jun 2022281
May 2022297
Apr 2022310
Mar 2022295
Feb 2022281
Jan 2022285
Dec 2021269
Nov 2021210
Oct 2021213
Sept 2021291
Aug 2021306
Jul 2021314
Jun 2021272
May 2021285
Apr 2021271
Mar 2021283
Feb 2021255
Jan 2021259
Dec 2020201
Nov 2020218
Oct 2020226
Sept 2020265
Aug 2020313
Jul 2020286
Jun 2020286
May 2020266
Apr 2020254
Mar 2020219
Feb 2020239
Jan 2020203
Dec 2019176
Nov 2019183
Oct 2019185
Sept 2019183
Jul 2019172
Jun 2019168
May 2019186
Apr 2019202
Mar 2019203
Feb 2019193
Jan 2019207
Dec 2018207
Nov 2018207
Oct 2018227
Sept 2018270
Aug 2018270
Jul 2018239
Apr 2018252
Mar 2018230
Feb 2018220
Jan 2018220
Dec 2017220
Nov 2017290
Aug 2017301
Jul 2017301
Jun 2017258
May 2017260
Apr 2017250
Mar 2017211
Feb 2017255
Jan 2017213
Nov 2016170
Oct 2016170
Sept 2016200
Aug 2016276
Jul 2016240
Jun 2016203
May 2016196
Apr 2016160
Mar 2016148
Feb 2016130
Jan 2016149
Dec 2015167
Oct 2015175
Sept 2015148
Aug 2015176
Jul 2015171
Jun 2015176
May 2015191
Apr 2015202
Mar 2015218
Feb 2015184
Jan 2015196
Nov 2014239
Oct 2014246
Sept 2014261
Aug 2014265
Jul 2014265
Jun 2014264
May 2014233
Apr 2014236
Mar 2014234
Feb 2014237
Jan 2014243
Dec 2013280
Nov 2013280
Oct 2013265
Sept 2013288
Aug 2013325
Jul 2013321
Jun 2013312
May 2013267
Apr 2013260
Mar 2013238
Jan 2013205
Dec 2012190
Nov 2012208
Oct 2012244
Sept 2012296
Aug 2012309
Jul 2012304
May 2012268
Apr 2012259
Dec 2011234
Nov 2011198
Oct 2011188
Sept 2011188
Jul 2011175
Jun 2011187
May 2011180
Apr 2011158
Mar 2011160
Jan 2011154
Dec 2010135
Nov 2010121
Oct 2010158
Sept 2010197
Aug 2010247
Jul 2010224
Jun 2010211
May 2010200
Apr 2010195
Mar 2010199
Feb 2010194
Jan 2010190
Dec 2009194
Nov 2009191
Oct 2009194
Sept 2009204
Aug 2009223
Jul 2009206
Jun 2009182
May 2009175
Apr 2009199
Mar 2009183
Feb 2009196
Jan 2009191

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-600-73-retail-kg.