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Millet in Zinder Commune

Zinder, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was 5% below the national median of 53 markets (usually 4% below). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

169–264

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

161–277

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 169 and 264 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 277 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Zinder Commune: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 169 and 264 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 277 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 208–265 233 185–270 306 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 175–258 205 154–266 261 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 169–264 202 149–271 261 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 161–264 200 134–321 252 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 161–277 209 128–307 270 –
Price history (417 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026241
Aug 2026259
Jul 2026255
Jun 2026254
May 2026235
Apr 2026202
Mar 2026208
Feb 2026203
Jan 2026185
Dec 2025184
Nov 2025198
Oct 2025219
Sept 2025238
Aug 2025275
Jul 2025306
Jun 2025317
May 2025307
Apr 2025317
Mar 2025313
Feb 2025317
Jan 2025328
Dec 2024263
Nov 2024252
Oct 2024318
Sept 2024384
Aug 2024409
Jul 2024415
Jun 2024364
May 2024349
Apr 2024338
Mar 2024298
Feb 2024292
Jan 2024276
Dec 2023284
Nov 2023267
Oct 2023279
Sept 2023296
Aug 2023321
Jul 2023241
Jun 2023236
May 2023239
Apr 2023237
Mar 2023231
Feb 2023220
Jan 2023224
Dec 2022233
Nov 2022296
Oct 2022247
Sept 2022271
Aug 2022282
Jul 2022328
Jun 2022335
May 2022346
Apr 2022320
Mar 2022273
Feb 2022281
Jan 2022266
Dec 2021249
Nov 2021229
Oct 2021238
Sept 2021274
Aug 2021290
Jul 2021258
Jun 2021254
May 2021246
Apr 2021245
Mar 2021231
Feb 2021235
Jan 2021210
Apr 2020226
Dec 2019169
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019158
Sept 2019173
Aug 2019193
Jul 2019134
May 2019187
Apr 2019201
Mar 2019182
Feb 2019177
Jan 2019171
Dec 2018154
Oct 2018168
Sept 2018202
Aug 2018204
Jul 2018222
Jun 2018221
May 2018222
Apr 2018213
Mar 2018188
Feb 2018188
Jan 2018188
Nov 2017185
Oct 2017174
Sept 2017261
Aug 2017279
Jul 2017285
Jun 2017290
May 2017273
Apr 2017261
Mar 2017226
Feb 2017219
Jan 2017185
Nov 2016168
Oct 2016168
Sept 2016205
Aug 2016225
Jul 2016183
Jun 2016205
May 2016171
Apr 2016171
Mar 2016143
Feb 2016143
Jan 2016153
Dec 2015152
Oct 2015150
Sept 2015153
Aug 2015150
Jul 2015171
Jun 2015175
May 2015179
Apr 2015171
Mar 2015152
Feb 2015145
Jan 2015140
Dec 2014143
Sept 2014198
Aug 2014207
Jul 2014229
Jun 2014235
May 2014235
Apr 2014235
Mar 2014233
Feb 2014231
Jan 2014233
Dec 2013236
Nov 2013244
Oct 2013244
Sept 2013265
Aug 2013277
Apr 2013252
Mar 2013239
Jan 2013209
Dec 2012208
Nov 2012188
Oct 2012171
Sept 2012233
Aug 2012336
Jul 2012274
Apr 2012226
Mar 2012210
Feb 2012212
Jan 2012212
Dec 2011194
Nov 2011177
Oct 2011153
Sept 2011138
Aug 2011154
Jul 2011168
Jun 2011166
May 2011174
Apr 2011145
Mar 2011142
Feb 2011137
Jan 2011137
Dec 2010135
Nov 2010122
Oct 2010122
Sept 2010186
Aug 2010221
Jul 2010214
Jun 2010219
May 2010182
Apr 2010182
Mar 2010174
Feb 2010174
Jan 2010185
Dec 2009179
Nov 2009157
Oct 2009148
Sept 2009157
Aug 2009196
Jul 2009193
Jun 2009171
May 2009174
Apr 2009167
Mar 2009170
Feb 2009177
Jan 2009164
Dec 2008152
Nov 2008141
Oct 2008140
Sept 2008181
Aug 2008189
Jul 2008178
Jun 2008171
May 2008153
Apr 2008151
Mar 2008156
Feb 2008143
Jan 2008126
Dec 2007114
Nov 2007117
Oct 2007106
Sept 2007117
Aug 2007127
Jul 2007129
Jun 2007126
May 2007127
Apr 2007133
Mar 2007128
Feb 2007128
Jan 2007126
Dec 2006122
Nov 2006120
Oct 2006118
Sept 2006146
Aug 2006159
Jul 2006171
Jun 2006151
May 2006144
Apr 2006142
Mar 2006134
Feb 2006138
Jan 2006137
Dec 2005131
Nov 2005121
Oct 2005122
Sept 2005159
Aug 2005261
Jul 2005254
Jun 2005212
May 2005181
Apr 2005192
Mar 2005164
Feb 2005161
Jan 2005151
Dec 2004123
Nov 2004125
Oct 2004121
Sept 2004134
Aug 2004145
Jul 2004136
Jun 2004119
May 2004126
Apr 2004126
Mar 2004116
Feb 2004109
Jan 200491
Dec 200375
Nov 200382
Oct 200380
Sept 200391
Aug 2003102
Jul 2003107
Jun 2003115
May 2003129
Apr 2003129
Mar 2003130
Feb 2003141
Jan 2003124
Dec 2002117
Nov 2002113
Oct 2002116
Sept 2002172
Aug 2002212
Jul 2002212
Jun 2002189
May 2002188
Apr 2002171
Mar 2002169
Feb 2002160
Jan 2002125
Dec 2001108
Nov 2001111
Oct 2001107
Sept 2001135
Aug 2001183
Jul 2001198
Jun 2001173
May 2001151
Apr 2001188
Mar 2001170
Feb 2001134
Jan 2001117
Dec 2000122
Nov 2000111
Oct 2000106
Sept 2000108
Aug 2000107
Jul 2000110
Jun 2000106
May 2000118
Apr 2000112
Mar 200098
Feb 200097
Jan 200087
Dec 199984
Nov 199987
Oct 199983
Sept 199976
Aug 199984
Jul 199996
Jun 199986
May 199988
Apr 199987
Mar 199978
Feb 199973
Jan 199971
Dec 199874
Nov 199887
Oct 199890
Sept 1998162
Aug 1998204
Jul 1998312
Jun 1998177
May 1998182
Apr 1998169
Mar 1998149
Feb 1998145
Jan 1998143
Dec 1997129
Nov 1997131
Oct 1997112
Sept 1997143
Aug 1997178
Jul 1997162
Jun 1997153
May 1997146
Apr 1997148
Mar 1997132
Feb 1997117
Jan 1997108
Dec 199695
Nov 1996100
Oct 199691
Sept 199691
Aug 1996125
Jul 1996125
Jun 1996107
May 1996106
Apr 199698
Mar 199682
Feb 199678
Jan 199668
Dec 199562
Nov 199566
Oct 199561
Sept 199566
Aug 199570
Jul 199569
Jun 199567
May 199565
Apr 199558
Mar 199555
Feb 199555
Jan 199556
Dec 199451
Nov 199454.5
Oct 199458
Sept 199467
Aug 199471
Jul 199470
Jun 199476
May 199465
Apr 199458
Mar 199461
Feb 199458
Jan 199442
Dec 199340
Nov 199343.5
Oct 199347
Sept 199356
Aug 199357
Jul 199361
Jun 199355
May 199354
Apr 199346
Mar 199359
Feb 199360
Jan 199357
Dec 199248
Nov 199249
Oct 199253
Sept 199256
Aug 199269
Jul 199277
Jun 199261
May 199259
Apr 199252
Mar 199251
Feb 199250
Jan 199253
Dec 199151
Nov 199146
Oct 199146
Sept 199170
Aug 199173
Jul 199185
Jun 199175
May 199172
Apr 199170
Mar 199168
Feb 199164
Jan 199159
Dec 199051
Nov 199052
Oct 199061
Sept 199059
Aug 199060
Jul 199063
Jun 199060
May 199058
Apr 199058
Mar 199050
Feb 199049
Jan 199044

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-1463-73-retail-kg.