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Millet in Dosso Commune

Dosso, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was 4% below the national median of 53 markets (usually about the same). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

165–265

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

161–273

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 165 and 265 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 273 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Dosso Commune: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 165 and 265 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 273 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 212–271 237 192–283 322 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 181–264 209 155–277 269 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 165–265 201 145–271 257 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 163–268 201 141–303 257 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 161–273 206 130–321 265 –
Price history (432 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026260
Aug 2026260
Jul 2026275
Jun 2026260
May 2026240
Apr 2026228
Mar 2026220
Feb 2026200
Jan 2026200
Dec 2025215
Nov 2025220
Oct 2025214
Sept 2025241
Aug 2025289
Jul 2025301
Jun 2025301
May 2025301
Apr 2025300
Mar 2025300
Feb 2025290
Jan 2025284
Dec 2024270
Nov 2024280
Oct 2024300
Sept 2024353
Aug 2024482
Jul 2024474
Jun 2024426
May 2024373
Apr 2024349
Mar 2024318
Feb 2024287
Jan 2024275
Dec 2023277
Nov 2023281
Oct 2023280
Sept 2023330
Aug 2023340
Jul 2023320
Jun 2023280
May 2023280
Apr 2023280
Mar 2023260
Feb 2023260
Jan 2023260
Dec 2022256
Nov 2022196
Oct 2022280
Sept 2022328
Aug 2022334
Jul 2022320
Jun 2022320
May 2022320
Apr 2022321
Mar 2022301
Feb 2022301
Jan 2022263
Dec 2021265
Nov 2021270
Oct 2021274
Sept 2021305
Aug 2021327
Jul 2021317
Jun 2021286
May 2021283
Apr 2021276
Mar 2021270
Feb 2021263
Jan 2021244
Dec 2020174
Nov 2020220
Oct 2020245
Sept 2020324
Aug 2020338
Jul 2020302
Jun 2020252
May 2020242
Mar 2020237
Feb 2020216
Jan 2020201
Dec 2019201
Nov 2019201
Oct 2019201
Sept 2019201
Aug 2019202
Jul 2019202
Jun 2019200
May 2019240
Apr 2019241
Mar 2019209
Feb 2019201
Jan 2019201
Dec 2018200
Nov 2018201
Oct 2018195
Sept 2018282
Aug 2018282
Jul 2018282
Jun 2018295
May 2018300
Apr 2018272
Mar 2018261
Feb 2018240
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017240
Nov 2017228
Oct 2017220
Sept 2017260
Aug 2017282
Jul 2017235
Jun 2017290
May 2017282
Apr 2017265
Mar 2017221
Feb 2017220
Jan 2017200
Dec 2016200
Nov 2016200
Oct 2016200
Sept 2016262
Aug 2016262
Jul 2016242
Jun 2016240
May 2016221
Apr 2016222
Mar 2016200
Feb 2016200
Jan 2016200
Dec 2015200
Oct 2015200
Sept 2015220
Aug 2015220
Jul 2015220
Jun 2015221
May 2015217
Apr 2015200
Mar 2015197
Feb 2015198
Jan 2015200
Dec 2014200
Nov 2014200
Oct 2014203
Sept 2014217
Aug 2014240
Jul 2014236
Jun 2014231
May 2014237
Apr 2014241
Mar 2014238
Feb 2014240
Jan 2014238
Dec 2013242
Nov 2013240
Oct 2013240
Sept 2013251
Aug 2013302
Jul 2013302
Jun 2013282
May 2013281
Apr 2013287
Mar 2013266
Feb 2013241
Jan 2013242
Dec 2012241
Sept 2012301
Aug 2012314
Jul 2012309
May 2012257
Apr 2012241
Mar 2012225
Feb 2012221
Jan 2012210
Dec 2011201
Nov 2011208
Oct 2011208
Sept 2011199
Aug 2011217
Jul 2011215
Jun 2011236
May 2011240
Apr 2011204
Mar 2011194
Feb 2011179
Jan 2011179
Dec 2010180
Nov 2010175
Oct 2010188
Sept 2010208
Aug 2010241
Jul 2010240
Jun 2010231
May 2010220
Apr 2010217
Mar 2010206
Feb 2010203
Jan 2010204
Dec 2009203
Nov 2009201
Oct 2009198
Sept 2009244
Aug 2009258
Jul 2009230
Jun 2009219
May 2009221
Apr 2009222
Mar 2009221
Feb 2009219
Jan 2009218
Dec 2008198
Nov 2008201
Oct 2008218
Sept 2008235
Aug 2008238
Jul 2008231
Jun 2008208
May 2008202
Apr 2008203
Mar 2008202
Feb 2008181
Jan 2008161
Dec 2007161
Nov 2007158
Oct 2007149
Sept 2007161
Aug 2007161
Jul 2007160
Jun 2007161
May 2007161
Apr 2007156
Mar 2007149
Feb 2007151
Jan 2007147
Dec 2006141
Nov 2006139
Oct 2006158
Sept 2006191
Aug 2006190
Jul 2006187
Jun 2006204
May 2006204
Apr 2006205
Mar 2006202
Feb 2006212
Jan 2006200
Dec 2005198
Nov 2005192
Oct 2005212
Sept 2005238
Aug 2005329
Jul 2005299
Jun 2005281
May 2005219
Apr 2005216
Mar 2005212
Feb 2005184
Jan 2005152
Dec 2004145
Nov 2004152
Oct 2004145
Sept 2004152
Aug 2004160
Jul 2004158
Jun 2004153
May 2004154
Apr 2004147
Mar 2004138
Feb 2004139
Jan 2004122
Dec 2003124
Nov 2003125
Oct 2003129
Sept 2003143
Aug 2003145
Jul 2003150
Jun 2003153
May 2003165
Apr 2003170
Mar 2003174
Feb 2003164
Jan 2003157
Dec 2002176
Nov 2002180
Oct 2002172
Sept 2002182
Aug 2002243
Jul 2002238
Jun 2002228
May 2002218
Apr 2002213
Mar 2002216
Feb 2002205
Jan 2002136
Dec 2001136
Nov 2001143
Oct 2001147
Sept 2001189
Aug 2001230
Jul 2001224
Jun 2001220
May 2001246
Apr 2001246
Mar 2001205
Feb 2001162
Jan 2001145
Dec 2000131
Nov 2000128
Oct 2000122
Sept 2000155
Aug 2000146
Jul 2000148
Jun 2000151
May 2000151
Apr 2000129
Mar 2000125
Feb 2000110
Jan 2000107
Dec 1999105
Nov 1999105
Oct 1999109
Sept 1999141
Aug 1999130
May 1999126
Apr 1999126
Mar 1999135
Feb 1999137
Jan 1999117
Dec 1998115
Nov 1998111
Oct 1998147
Sept 1998188
Aug 1998229
Jul 1998245
Jun 1998249
May 1998253
Apr 1998210
Mar 1998188
Feb 1998184
Jan 1998174
Dec 1997168
Nov 1997168
Oct 1997169
Sept 1997169
Aug 1997190
Jul 1997191
Jun 1997180
May 1997174
Apr 1997165
Mar 1997152
Dec 1996105
Nov 199687
Oct 1996125
Sept 1996132
Aug 1996142
Jul 1996130
Jun 1996131
May 1996130
Apr 1996130
Mar 199683
Feb 199682
Jan 199675
Dec 199567
Nov 199577
Oct 199586
Sept 199591
Aug 1995100
Jul 1995100
Jun 199583
May 199582
Apr 199575
Mar 199576
Feb 199577
Jan 199576
Dec 199471.5
Nov 199467
Oct 199475
Sept 199487.5
Aug 1994100
Jul 199497
Jun 199496
May 199476
Apr 199480
Mar 199482
Feb 199478
Jan 199458
Dec 199362
Nov 199364
Oct 199363
Sept 199369
Aug 199374
Jul 199383
Jun 199375
May 199371
Apr 199371
Mar 199370
Feb 199371
Jan 199372
Dec 199268
Nov 199264
Oct 199269
Sept 199286
Aug 1992106
Jul 199299
Jun 199277
May 199276
Apr 199275
Mar 199274
Feb 199268
Jan 199268
Dec 199161
Nov 199161
Oct 199158
Sept 199158
Aug 199182
Jul 1991106
Jun 199194
May 199189
Apr 199184
Mar 199189
Feb 199186
Jan 199168
Dec 199073
Nov 199073
Oct 199074
Sept 199075
Aug 199073
Jul 199073
Jun 199073
May 199073
Apr 199073
Mar 199073
Feb 199073
Jan 199073

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-567-73-retail-kg.