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Millet in Goure

Zinder, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was about the same as the national median of 53 markets (usually 7% above). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

175–283

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

173–299

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 175 and 283 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 173 and 299 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Goure: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 175 and 283 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 173 and 299 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 221–286 246 193–305 341 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 187–274 220 165–301 288 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 175–283 213 148–303 284 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 174–289 215 143–302 292 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 173–299 222 139–313 306 –
Price history (375 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026261
Aug 2026275
Jul 2026304
Jun 2026304
May 2026263
Apr 2026243
Mar 2026234
Feb 2026213
Jan 2026210
Dec 2025215
Nov 2025215
Oct 2025219
Sept 2025210
Aug 2025278
Jul 2025326
Jun 2025326
May 2025326
Apr 2025321
Mar 2025333
Feb 2025330
Jan 2025305
Dec 2024299
Nov 2024291
Oct 2024299
Sept 2024375
Aug 2024500
Jul 2024465
Jun 2024444
May 2024416
Apr 2024380
Mar 2024341
Feb 2024333
Jan 2024313
Dec 2023322
Nov 2023322
Oct 2023326
Sept 2023391
Aug 2023431
Jul 2023360
Jun 2023360
May 2023349
Apr 2023343
Mar 2023295
Feb 2023307
Jan 2023318
Dec 2022303
Nov 2022279
Oct 2022283
Sept 2022356
Aug 2022377
Jul 2022383
Jun 2022354
May 2022338
Apr 2022348
Mar 2022348
Feb 2022357
Jan 2022314
Dec 2021296
Nov 2021300
Oct 2021296
Sept 2021349
Aug 2021360
Jul 2021351
Jun 2021319
May 2021294
Apr 2021326
Mar 2021307
Feb 2021305
Jan 2021284
Dec 2020195
Nov 2020227
Oct 2020266
Sept 2020329
Aug 2020352
Jul 2020334
Jun 2020282
May 2020273
Apr 2020283
Mar 2020286
Feb 2020246
Jan 2020250
Dec 2019233
Nov 2019233
Oct 2019235
Sept 2019245
Aug 2019254
Jul 2019182
Jun 2019270
May 2019282
Apr 2019290
Mar 2019264
Feb 2019235
Jan 2019247
Dec 2018259
Nov 2018235
Oct 2018247
Sept 2018300
Aug 2018307
Jul 2018264
Jun 2018264
May 2018268
Apr 2018253
Mar 2018233
Feb 2018233
Jan 2018237
Dec 2017237
Nov 2017240
Oct 2017212
Sept 2017269
Aug 2017296
Jul 2017296
Jun 2017294
May 2017294
Apr 2017288
Mar 2017269
Feb 2017267
Jan 2017229
Nov 2016176
Oct 2016176
Sept 2016225
Aug 2016288
Jul 2016255
Jun 2016231
May 2016235
Apr 2016195
Mar 2016195
Feb 2016196
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015141
Oct 2015184
Sept 2015231
Aug 2015192
Jul 2015221
Jun 2015230
May 2015222
Apr 2015214
Mar 2015192
Feb 2015191
Jan 2015192
Nov 2014194
Oct 2014222
Sept 2014222
Aug 2014259
Jul 2014263
Jun 2014269
May 2014269
Apr 2014268
Mar 2014264
Feb 2014263
Jan 2014267
Dec 2013270
Nov 2013272
Oct 2013276
Sept 2013284
Aug 2013316
Jul 2013316
Jun 2013310
May 2013298
Apr 2013273
Mar 2013247
Feb 2013216
Jan 2013216
Dec 2012216
Nov 2012215
Oct 2012217
Sept 2012279
Aug 2012306
Jul 2012270
May 2012234
Apr 2012234
Mar 2012198
Feb 2012216
Jan 2012202
Dec 2011189
Nov 2011162
Oct 2011162
Sept 2011161
Jul 2011183
Jun 2011180
May 2011180
Apr 2011180
Mar 2011153
Jan 2011148
Dec 2010143
Nov 2010136
Oct 2010145
Sept 2010176
Aug 2010227
Jul 2010216
Jun 2010216
May 2010216
Apr 2010198
Mar 2010190
Feb 2010191
Jan 2010180
Dec 2009180
Nov 2009180
Oct 2009167
Sept 2009190
Aug 2009216
Jul 2009207
Jun 2009179
May 2009179
Apr 2009179
Mar 2009180
Feb 2009198
Jan 2009189
Dec 2008178
Nov 2008180
Oct 2008157
Sept 2008216
Aug 2008204
Jul 2008197
Jun 2008188
May 2008180
Apr 2008183
Feb 2008157
Jan 2008150
Dec 2007144
Nov 2007144
Oct 2007122
Sept 2007126
Aug 2007135
Jul 2007144
Jun 2007144
May 2007143
Apr 2007143
Mar 2007144
Feb 2007144
Jan 2007137
Dec 2006125
Nov 2006111
Oct 2006118
Sept 2006144
Aug 2006172
Jul 2006166
Jun 2006144
May 2006144
Apr 2006144
Mar 2006144
Feb 2006145
Jan 2006140
Dec 2005131
Nov 2005119
Oct 2005129
Sept 2005209
Aug 2005319
Jul 2005290
Jun 2005249
May 2005217
Apr 2005224
Mar 2005193
Feb 2005184
Jan 2005160
Dec 2004156
Nov 2004144
Oct 2004139
Sept 2004135
Aug 2004144
Jul 2004136
Jun 2004124
May 2004135
Apr 2004135
Mar 2004114
Feb 2004112
Jan 200498.8
Dec 200389.7
Nov 200394.4
Oct 200394.6
Sept 200390.1
Aug 2003100
Jul 2003104
Jun 2003118
May 2003147
Apr 2003144
Mar 2003147
Feb 2003145
Jan 2003135
Dec 2002128
Nov 2002130
Oct 2002140
Sept 2002184
Aug 2002227
Jul 2002196
Jun 2002190
May 2002178
Apr 2002178
Mar 2002197
Feb 2002185
Dec 2001138
Nov 2001133
Oct 2001138
Sept 2001178
Aug 2001211
Jul 2001202
Jun 2001197
Mar 2001176
Feb 2001141
Jan 2001129
Nov 2000124
Oct 2000120
Sept 2000132
Aug 2000131
Jul 2000130
Jun 2000137
May 2000126
Apr 2000138
Mar 2000113
Feb 2000101
Jan 200094
Nov 199993
Oct 199994
Sept 199986
Aug 199985
Jul 199987
Jun 199978
May 199993
Apr 199988
Mar 199975
Feb 199975
Jan 199978
Dec 199874
Nov 199883
Oct 199891
Sept 1998165
Aug 1998234
Jul 1998222
Jun 1998201
May 1998201
Apr 1998185
Mar 1998161
Feb 1998153
Jan 1998151
Dec 1997141
Nov 1997121
Oct 1997121
Sept 1997150
Aug 1997171
Jul 1997165
Jun 1997149
May 1997142
Apr 1997142
Mar 1997119
Feb 1997118
Jan 1997118
Dec 199696
Nov 199681
Oct 199688
Sept 1996109
Aug 1996118
Jul 1996145
Jun 1996100
Apr 199690
Mar 199681
Feb 199667
Jan 199667
Dec 199567
Oct 199584
Aug 199584
Jul 199576
Jun 199569
May 199573
Apr 199575
Mar 199567
Feb 199567
Jan 199562
Nov 199457
Sept 199465
Aug 199474
Jul 199478
Jun 199471
Apr 199471
Mar 199463
Feb 199458
Jan 199456

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-580-73-retail-kg.