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Millet in Matameye

Zinder, Niger · XOF per KG · retail

Food basket in this market

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

In August 2026 the price here was 26% below the national median of 53 markets (usually 12% below). How this is measured.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

136–224

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

132–233

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 136 and 224 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 132 and 233 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Matameye: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For millet, across 53 markets in Niger, the median price rose 5% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 136 and 224 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 132 and 233 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • National median (53 markets)
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 161–220 181 143–240 260 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 133–211 160 118–240 214 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 136–224 167 118–244 233 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 136–229 168 116–235 237 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 132–233 172 111–250 245 –
Price history (316 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026190
Aug 2026202
Jul 2026235
Jun 2026227
Apr 2026207
Mar 2026204
Feb 2026187
Jan 2026168
Dec 2025173
Nov 2025176
Oct 2025161
Sept 2025190
Aug 2025245
Jul 2025285
Jun 2025302
May 2025294
Apr 2025296
Mar 2025303
Feb 2025303
Jan 2025260
Dec 2024269
Nov 2024242
Oct 2024224
Sept 2024254
Aug 2024388
Jul 2024424
Jun 2024396
Apr 2024354
Mar 2024304
Feb 2024266
Jan 2024285
Dec 2023272
Nov 2023272
Oct 2023230
Sept 2023273
Aug 2023330
Jul 2023349
Jun 2023304
Apr 2023267
Mar 2023267
Feb 2023263
Jan 2023233
Dec 2022225
Nov 2022272
Oct 2022221
Sept 2022267
Aug 2022292
Jul 2022296
Jun 2022288
Apr 2022271
Feb 2022286
Jan 2022263
Dec 2021233
Nov 2021229
Oct 2021221
Sept 2021306
Aug 2021329
Jul 2021291
Jun 2021286
Jan 2021241
Dec 2020220
Nov 2020199
Oct 2020183
Sept 2020227
Aug 2020291
Jul 2020278
Jun 2020238
Apr 2020213
Feb 2020191
Jan 2020182
Dec 2019174
Nov 2019181
Oct 2019137
Sept 2019156
Aug 2019168
Jul 2019172
Jun 2019191
Apr 2019191
Jan 2019153
Dec 2018153
Nov 2018150
Oct 2018138
Sept 2018202
Aug 2018220
Jul 2018224
Jun 2018237
May 2018233
Apr 2018224
Jan 2018191
Dec 2017191
Nov 2017162
Oct 2017149
Sept 2017187
Aug 2017267
Jul 2017298
Jun 2017327
Feb 2017228
Jan 2017190
Oct 2016229
Sept 2016232
Aug 2016264
Jul 2016206
Jun 2016193
Mar 2016159
Jan 2016135
Dec 2015134
Oct 2015156
Sept 2015158
Aug 2015169
Jul 2015181
Jun 2015182
May 2015183
Apr 2015162
Mar 2015143
Feb 2015140
Jan 2015145
Nov 2014146
Oct 2014136
Sept 2014184
Aug 2014206
Jul 2014233
Jun 2014238
May 2014231
Apr 2014245
Jan 2014233
Dec 2013224
Nov 2013201
Oct 2013207
Sept 2013264
Aug 2013301
Jul 2013337
Jun 2013304
Mar 2013276
Feb 2013254
Jan 2013223
Dec 2012218
Nov 2012185
Oct 2012171
Sept 2012267
Aug 2012252
Jul 2012293
May 2012261
Apr 2012262
Mar 2012226
Jan 2012202
Dec 2011192
Nov 2011174
Oct 2011134
Sept 2011153
Jul 2011165
Jun 2011168
May 2011198
Apr 2011179
Jan 2011153
Dec 2010153
Nov 2010135
Oct 2010120
Sept 2010165
Aug 2010225
Jul 2010220
Jun 2010231
Mar 2010197
Jan 2010193
Dec 2009182
Nov 2009147
Oct 2009151
Sept 2009184
Aug 2009197
Jul 2009198
May 2009166
Mar 2009161
Feb 2009161
Jan 2009161
Dec 2008150
Nov 2008132
Oct 2008135
Sept 2008165
Aug 2008189
Jul 2008182
May 2008153
Apr 2008153
Feb 2008147
Jan 2008131
Dec 2007115
Nov 2007116
Oct 2007110
Sept 2007119
Aug 2007127
Jul 2007129
Jun 2007129
May 2007127
Jan 2007118
Dec 2006115
Nov 2006117
Oct 200698
Sept 2006138
Aug 2006144
Jul 2006170
Jun 2006156
May 2006150
Apr 2006150
Jan 2006136
Dec 2005124
Nov 2005120
Oct 2005115
Sept 2005180
Aug 2005313
Jul 2005264
Jun 2005223
May 2005200
Apr 2005196
Mar 2005172
Feb 2005157
Jan 2005141
Dec 2004124
Nov 2004120
Oct 2004112
Sept 2004126
Aug 2004147
Jul 2004143
Jun 2004122
Apr 2004130
Feb 2004107
Jan 2004102
Dec 200385.9
Nov 200394
Oct 200383.8
Sept 200378.2
Aug 200397.7
Jul 2003111
Jun 2003120
Apr 2003132
Feb 2003129
Jan 2003127
Dec 2002112
Nov 2002108
Oct 2002112
Sept 2002173
Aug 2002219
Jul 2002208
Jun 2002204
Apr 2002197
Feb 2002171
Nov 2001112
Sept 200184
Aug 2001172
Jul 2001167
Jun 2001165
Feb 2001140
Jan 2001125
Dec 2000126
Nov 2000119
Oct 2000114
Sept 2000224Data error
Aug 2000105
Jul 2000115
Apr 2000109
Feb 200077
Jan 200078
Dec 199979
Nov 199979
Oct 199977
Sept 199977
Aug 199986
Jul 199993
Jun 199995
Apr 199988
Mar 199984
Feb 199986
Jan 199964
Dec 199870
Nov 199884
Oct 199884
Sept 1998140
Aug 1998204
Jul 1998217
Feb 1998141
Jan 1998130
Dec 1997117
Nov 1997128
Oct 1997133
Sept 1997104
Aug 1997149
Jul 1997151
May 1997129
Mar 1997119
Feb 1997100
Jan 199799
Dec 199684
Nov 199684
Oct 199674
Sept 199695
Aug 1996126
Jul 1996116
May 1996110
Feb 199670
Jan 199666
Dec 199563
Nov 199566
Oct 199557
Sept 199563
Aug 199565
Jul 199571
Apr 199560
Feb 199557
Jan 199552
Dec 199447
Nov 199447
Oct 199448
Sept 199441
Aug 199463
Jul 199469
Apr 199460
Mar 199455
Feb 199456
Jan 199443

Track record in Niger

How past forecasts for Niger did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 80% 96% 4% better than the base rate 8,042
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 7% better than the base rate 8,024
Next month 73% 92% 10% better than the base rate 8,005
In 2 months 68% 89% 12% better than the base rate 7,988
In 3 months 63% 86% 15% better than the base rate 7,975

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: niger-603-73-retail-kg.